TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Vanderbilt vs. Alabama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabamaof Vanderbilt, Alabama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$535,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt25c186,263$45,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,718.4468440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Alabama80c105,196$84,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,138.0240549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Vanderbilt20c88,663$17,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,753.429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Alabama76c86,730$65,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,800.938149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Alabama80c50,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0002737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Vanderbilt19c47,667$9,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,136.6634250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Vanderbilt19c23,378$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.915639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama75c21,415$16,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,386.5430949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8c…672ebacked Vanderbilt23c15,790$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.293135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Vanderbilt22c12,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6602948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d48…d360backed Vanderbilt20c5,550$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama71c5,336$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.6355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama69c5,239$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.6540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Alabama72c5,034$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.910750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab0…6659backed Vanderbilt2c5,031$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Alabama73c5,000$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.683154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Alabama80c4,876$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.21770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Vanderbilt11c4,673$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6364841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Alabama80c4,057$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Vanderbilt41c3,383$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.22030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Alabama74c2,615$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8685947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Vanderbilt20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Vanderbilt21c2,375$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7511844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vanderbilt18c2,282$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.7252641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Alabama78c2,186$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Alabama67c2,169$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.747929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Alabama75c2,120$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.873565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Vanderbilt25c2,019$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Alabama71c1,842$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6223751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alabama78c1,733$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5149253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Alabama69c1,453$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.999053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Vanderbilt23c1,430$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.91250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Alabama78c1,410$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Alabama58c1,278$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.624436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Vanderbilt21c1,250$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.58448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed Vanderbilt28c1,225$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.952630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Vanderbilt25c1,200$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30211735.9%42 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Alabama80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24013452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed Vanderbilt21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Alabama74c1,143$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.664257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f60…bbccbacked Vanderbilt20c1,130$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Alabama80c1,065$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2134045%18 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Vanderbilt38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38024157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb67…970abacked Vanderbilt20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Alabama77c994.27$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.626543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4150…d0ebbacked Vanderbilt21c919.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1973119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Vanderbilt6c849.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7790%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Alabama80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt26c754.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Alabama50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505334%18 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Alabama79c639$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0511844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vanderbilt13c610$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Alabama60c570$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2289446.8%44 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Alabama80c566$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.23644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Alabama59c543.2$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.23432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Alabama80c537.5$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.54247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Alabama80c500.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.086162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1197…40bfbacked Vanderbilt21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Alabama80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Alabama79c493.56$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.651560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Vanderbilt20c485$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Vanderbilt20c456.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7317954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Vanderbilt20c444.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2847131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vanderbilt17c435$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Vanderbilt40c427.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Alabama67c404.88$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt22c403$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5eb…5124backed Vanderbilt33c397.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Alabama71c389.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c2…2bb3backed Vanderbilt20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Vanderbilt22c341$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.027660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Vanderbilt21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6316945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Alabama77c297.8$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.125954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7924…a7b0backed Vanderbilt23c295$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed Vanderbilt21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Vanderbilt21c283.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4512750.4%64 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Alabama65c275.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.385756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Alabama75c267.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8618858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Vanderbilt39c253.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Vanderbilt20c250.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.193141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe58e…2a67backed Vanderbilt20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Alabama65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.511436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Alabama66c243.45$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.453253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x095e…4965backed Vanderbilt19c243.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc732…097bbacked Alabama79c221.39$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Alabama71c220.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.88447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e86…6bc9backed Vanderbilt20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Vanderbilt20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe065…d1debacked Vanderbilt20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1293…e575backed Vanderbilt22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Vanderbilt22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Vanderbilt20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b98…d5d8backed Alabama78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35e…94cabacked Vanderbilt30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa8…7afbbacked Alabama79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee15…15a7backed Alabama65c185.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Vanderbilt23c181.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.687245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ad…8cfdbacked Vanderbilt35c180.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Vanderbilt22c180$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1830548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Alabama77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.