NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2989e90dc667aaccaaf21b370317e5f271731b7182adca92442243e247b7aabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 668 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Hawks | 35c | 37,173$12,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,242.56 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 39c | 33,693$13,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,595.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Magic | 0c | 26,830$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 64c | 20,966$13,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Magic | 51c | 16,721$8,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,458.57 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hawks | 32c | 13,729$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,355.23 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Hawks | 36c | 12,799$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,191.63 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Magic | 65c | 11,499$7,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,474.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 66c | 8,920$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.2 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Magic | 65c | 7,628$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.43 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Magic | 65c | 6,538$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.46 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 67c | 5,750$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.52 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Magic | 65c | 5,600$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 36c | 5,050$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Hawks | 36c | 4,954$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.62 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Hawks | 41c | 4,781$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.26 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 52c | 4,061$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.02 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 64c | 3,915$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.19 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 42c | 3,582$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.47 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Hawks | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.31 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…5ec1backed Hawks | 35c | 3,300$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 46c | 3,289$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Magic | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Hawks | 38c | 3,169$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.7 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 33c | 3,005$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.2 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 35c | 2,826$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.98 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Hawks | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Hawks | 46c | 2,444$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.71 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…0e43backed Hawks | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Magic | 59c | 2,201$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.7 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Hawks | 49c | 2,100$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks | 36c | 2,040$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.29 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 64c | 2,000$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 64c | 1,869$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.78 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 65c | 1,863$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.95 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 65c | 1,852$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.7 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 49c | 1,736$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.57 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 65c | 1,649$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.73 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks | 36c | 1,561$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.34 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Magic | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Magic | 53c | 1,472$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.77 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Hawks | 50c | 1,434$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.07 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Magic | 64c | 1,398$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.98 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Hawks | 36c | 1,334$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Hawks | 40c | 1,280$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.12 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hawks | 48c | 1,267$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.31 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Hawks | 36c | 1,222$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.08 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Hawks | 40c | 1,180$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.08 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 58c | 1,066$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Hawks | 36c | 1,042$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Hawks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Magic | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Hawks | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks | 36c | 986.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.11 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Magic | 30c | 968.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Hawks | 31c | 917.01$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.76 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 41c | 892.26$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.75 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Hawks | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Hawks | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Magic | 65c | 830.77$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Magic | 61c | 825.62$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Magic | 69c | 780$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Magic | 64c | 773.3$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hawks | 39c | 766.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 36c | 749.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 64c | 746$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.44 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Hawks | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Hawks | 35c | 704.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Hawks | 40c | 701.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.7 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…5f5cbacked Magic | 66c | 682.7$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 65c | 658.63$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Hawks | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Hawks | 35c | 589.46$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.15 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…32b8backed Hawks | 57c | 557.01$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hawks | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Hawks | 47c | 550$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hawks | 67c | 545.05$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 37c | 544.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Magic | 65c | 544.35$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.83 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Hawks | 37c | 542.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.06 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Hawks | 36c | 531.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks | 38c | 522.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Hawks | 35c | 500.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Magic | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Hawks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Magic | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Hawks | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Magic | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Magic | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.