MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823131ada8fa16fe5778ef3be8a00a227efd63f50ee8c8edf98a0904574ba0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,598,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,574,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,598,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Guardians | 42c | 503,695$209,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294,011.06 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 59c | 207,427$122,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,382.11 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 57c | 87,560$49,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,946.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers | 58c | 75,251$43,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,885.82 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers | 73c | 71,499$52,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,365.66 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 29c | 67,768$19,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,959.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 58c | 61,435$35,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,632.05 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Guardians | 56c | 43,903$24,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,210.24 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 55c | 43,860$23,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,966.64 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 9c | 27,329$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Guardians | 41c | 25,038$10,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,647.71 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Guardians | 41c | 24,055$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,192.26 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 66c | 19,919$13,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,131.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Tigers | 70c | 19,407$13,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,522.33 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tigers | 58c | 15,985$9,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,291.09 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tigers | 59c | 15,876$9,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,328.97 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers | 70c | 15,171$10,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,593.17 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 40c | 13,451$5,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tigers | 58c | 11,110$6,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,444.04 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 33c | 10,561$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,094.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 29c | 9,814$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007.55 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 63c | 8,958$5,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.23 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Guardians | 41c | 8,800$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.94 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 32c | 8,005$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.2 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Tigers | 74c | 5,946$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.79 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigers | 55c | 5,426$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Guardians | 47c | 5,036$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.08 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Guardians | 41c | 5,010$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.89 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Tigers | 59c | 4,358$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 42c | 4,285$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.64 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 58c | 4,273$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers | 58c | 3,901$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.43 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Tigers | 57c | 3,690$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.3 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Tigers | 59c | 3,602$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Tigers | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 42c | 3,100$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…20e2backed Guardians | 42c | 3,043$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…673fbacked Tigers | 59c | 3,042$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Tigers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…9aedbacked Tigers | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e5c8backed Guardians | 43c | 2,690$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Tigers | 59c | 2,500$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Tigers | 59c | 2,490$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.1 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Tigers | 59c | 2,282$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.66 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 57c | 2,213$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.58 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Guardians | 46c | 2,141$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 54c | 2,131$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Tigers | 59c | 2,039$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Guardians | 41c | 1,904$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.17 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…f4f6backed Guardians | 42c | 1,888$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…3444backed Tigers | 58c | 1,888$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Guardians | 47c | 1,820$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.91 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Guardians | 59c | 1,815$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.04 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 42c | 1,813$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.51 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 57c | 1,760$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.36 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Tigers | 59c | 1,685$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.27 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Guardians | 40c | 1,642$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 59c | 1,614$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.07 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Tigers | 59c | 1,611$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Guardians | 42c | 1,610$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.02 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Tigers | 76c | 1,376$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.36 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Tigers | 56c | 1,341$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Tigers | 6c | 1,317$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 61c | 1,316$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Tigers | 59c | 1,184$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 26c | 1,145$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 1c | 1,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Tigers | 55c | 1,061$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Tigers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Guardians | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 57c | 999.94$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.97 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 41c | 999.63$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.78 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Tigers | 53c | 959.52$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.26 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Tigers | 61c | 900.46$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.13 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Tigers | 45c | 893.6$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 57c | 891.67$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Guardians | 43c | 836.51$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.81 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 65c | 830$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.29 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 2c | 808.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tigers | 47c | 801.85$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.76 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 32c | 748.47$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guardians | 40c | 685.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.97 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 40c | 649$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Guardians | 37c | 600$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Tigers | 59c | 589.14$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.59 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Tigers | 68c | 588.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 42c | 580.95$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.95 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Tigers | 15c | 563.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Tigers | 58c | 551.87$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.08 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.