Token Launches · resolved market
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c5a771b82b68f910262aa80013ac6a05834addc449a5ad12d1ec73f81e892c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 3c | 14,352$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Yes | 49c | 8,215$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 5c | 3,545$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…ea13backed No | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed No | 8c | 2,750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…b75dbacked No | 22c | 2,615$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…4c4abacked No | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…cca0backed No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 30c | 2,428$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.65 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 54c | 2,319$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 61c | 2,096$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…a264backed Yes | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…767abacked No | 12c | 1,600$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 3c | 1,504$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…3ee8backed Yes | 62c | 1,450$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…c523backed Yes | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…0865backed Yes | 62c | 1,350$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…73eebacked No | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…89f2backed Yes | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…d8cebacked Yes | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…cf83backed No | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…835fbacked No | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 47c | 1,294$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…31aabacked Yes | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…5461backed Yes | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed Yes | 45c | 1,203$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…710abacked Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 33c | 998.07$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 856.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 34c | 853.64$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a41…e957backed No | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 30c | 800.56$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 37c | 774.82$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…89b2backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 36c | 749.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 56c | 727$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed No | 40c | 714.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…483abacked Yes | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 11c | 698.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…1025backed Yes | 17c | 686.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…e0f7backed No | 39c | 624.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed No | 49c | 609.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed No | 38c | 602.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…42adbacked Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 552.79$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…665dbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked No | 29c | 499.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 21c | 456.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 44c | 430$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 55c | 420.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…9616backed No | 50c | 403.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed No | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 66c | 381.54$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 75c | 378.69$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 72c | 356.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…c5afbacked Yes | 67c | 352.19$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…9818backed No | 77c | 335.64$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…ef15backed No | 41c | 329.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…adedbacked No | 50c | 323.83$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed No | 75c | 302.96$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 24c | 301$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 46c | 300.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…7c81backed Yes | 69c | 296.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…740bbacked Yes | 68c | 292.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Yes | 23c | 245.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked No | 41c | 241.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…3155backed Yes | 54c | 240.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…ac3abacked Yes | 28c | 215.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…10dfbacked No | 64c | 202.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…2fe7backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked No | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…1eb8backed No | 74c | 159.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…8f58backed No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 27c | 148.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 75c | 147.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…477dbacked No | 75c | 141.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…bc84backed No | 50c | 139.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 135.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…f209backed No | 18c | 134.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…2b79backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…c602backed No | 78c | 127.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 68c | 100.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…d038backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 71c | 98.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 59c | 97.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00c6…c32dbacked No | 33c | 96.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 64c | 92.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…f33dbacked No | 47c | 89.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…c0c1backed Yes | 35c | 86.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…ac27backed No | 42c | 85.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed No | 25c | 81.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked No | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…33febacked Yes | 54c | 73.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.