NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa1e8f3b1d376187570365ccc2b0a75b75c6bac5e09af54cbb2f136dcfc15312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Cowboys, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,808,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,884,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,808,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 49c | 461,134$227,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227,456.86 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bears | 60c | 342,434$203,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,592.43 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cowboys | 37c | 265,398$98,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,283.41 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bears | 47c | 257,282$121,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,333.35 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Cowboys | 39c | 150,000$58,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,693.71 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bears | 61c | 93,983$57,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,432.39 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bears | 47c | 93,287$43,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,442.13 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bears | 47c | 80,000$37,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,099.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 59c | 46,189$27,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,871.34 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bears | 56c | 45,094$25,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,625.51 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bears | 65c | 45,012$29,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,959.72 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cowboys | 51c | 40,964$21,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,041.73 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Cowboys | 53c | 35,440$18,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,783.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…ef86backed Bears | 76c | 31,927$24,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Cowboys | 44c | 27,488$12,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,092.72 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 27,364$14,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,502.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cowboys | 51c | 27,262$13,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,926.31 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cowboys | 33c | 27,003$8,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,860.15 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cowboys | 43c | 25,920$11,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,142.19 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cowboys | 37c | 24,610$9,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,104.92 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bears | 59c | 24,485$14,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,953.08 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cowboys | 39c | 24,329$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.48 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bears | 46c | 23,376$10,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,519.49 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 51c | 21,544$10,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,641.04 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Bears | 48c | 20,825$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,829 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 50c | 20,213$10,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,018.24 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Bears | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bears | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.98 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bears | 56c | 18,965$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,327.85 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Bears | 48c | 16,993$8,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900.13 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bears | 57c | 16,657$9,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,094.6 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.98 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cowboys | 35c | 15,450$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.22 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cowboys | 53c | 13,990$7,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.66 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Bears | 59c | 13,467$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.05 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys | 53c | 10,377$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cowboys | 52c | 10,222$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.44 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 64c | 10,214$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.71 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bears | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bears | 54c | 9,338$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 50c | 8,427$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.1 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bears | 49c | 8,280$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bears | 51c | 7,615$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.18 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Bears | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Cowboys | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bears | 53c | 7,136$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.43 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Bears | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Cowboys | 53c | 5,766$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.21 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Bears | 47c | 5,590$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Cowboys | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Cowboys | 24c | 5,394$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Cowboys | 47c | 5,387$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Cowboys | 53c | 5,052$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bears | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bears | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Bears | 50c | 4,961$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…5e89backed Cowboys | 53c | 4,912$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Cowboys | 53c | 4,863$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bears | 51c | 4,764$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.98 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bears | 49c | 4,655$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.16 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 56c | 4,505$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.25 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bears | 57c | 4,392$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.04 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Cowboys | 53c | 4,383$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.98 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Bears | 58c | 4,335$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Cowboys | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cowboys | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Bears | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Bears | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Cowboys | 46c | 3,712$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.21 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cowboys | 53c | 3,673$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.75 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…8c03backed Cowboys | 54c | 3,672$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Cowboys | 53c | 3,579$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bears | 47c | 3,387$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.88 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cowboys | 41c | 3,360$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.98 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cowboys | 3c | 3,235$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Cowboys | 48c | 3,226$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Bears | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bears | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bears | 47c | 2,999$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.65 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cowboys | 54c | 2,963$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Cowboys | 44c | 2,951$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cowboys | 37c | 2,860$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.2 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cowboys | 46c | 2,823$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.24 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cowboys | 51c | 2,789$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.93 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,725$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.03 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cowboys | 24c | 2,689$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.32 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cowboys | 53c | 2,649$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Bears | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.17 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bears | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Cowboys | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Bears | 70c | 2,500$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cowboys | 2c | 2,171$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bears | 40c | 2,108$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.52 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Bears | 59c | 2,074$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Bears | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Cowboys | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Cowboys | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…781fbacked Cowboys | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Bearsthis page
- DAL vs. CHI: O/U 51.5Under won
- DAL vs. CHI: O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: DAL (-1.5)CHI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.