College Football · resolved market
USC vs. Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f4f79cf81ed6b33a86383242d9ca0688a7708e48df2a3afa9b5af4f1a8a489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinoisof USC, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked USC | 40c | 7,987$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.68 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Illinois | 69c | 6,773$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.81 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed USC | 39c | 5,926$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.38 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed USC | 41c | 5,106$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.78 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed USC | 48c | 4,459$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.34 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed USC | 54c | 4,326$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.51 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Illinois | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Illinois | 29c | 2,895$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.45 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Illinois | 31c | 2,429$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Illinois | 29c | 2,242$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.81 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Illinois | 70c | 2,204$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.66 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois | 61c | 2,169$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.09 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed USC | 33c | 2,100$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.05 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed USC | 43c | 1,681$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.73 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Illinois | 29c | 1,667$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.86 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…ebd0backed USC | 71c | 1,408$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked USC | 69c | 1,342$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.98 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Illinois | 37c | 1,328$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.65 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked USC | 67c | 1,244$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.93 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed USC | 56c | 1,135$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.52 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed USC | 53c | 1,095$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois | 47c | 1,046$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.94 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Illinois | 65c | 1,001$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.83 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Illinois | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed USC | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked USC | 71c | 954.35$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Illinois | 30c | 767.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…ecf7backed Illinois | 52c | 721.34$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC | 68c | 705.3$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Illinois | 48c | 684.58$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC | 41c | 641.04$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Illinois | 38c | 631.13$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.27 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Illinois | 58c | 608.47$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Illinois | 61c | 596.32$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Illinois | 52c | 596$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked USC | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Illinois | 43c | 561.55$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.54 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed USC | 54c | 560.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed USC | 26c | 534$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked USC | 49c | 473.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed USC | 59c | 416.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Illinois | 37c | 395.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.27 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Illinois | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed USC | 53c | 374.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Illinois | 51c | 341.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked USC | 49c | 298.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed USC | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked USC | 39c | 255.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…a6a5backed Illinois | 75c | 251.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Illinois | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked USC | 39c | 225$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…466fbacked USC | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Illinois | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed USC | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…191cbacked USC | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed USC | 62c | 193.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Illinois | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…d904backed USC | 70c | 170$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed USC | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked USC | 33c | 163.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed USC | 62c | 160.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Illinois | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Illinois | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Illinois | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed USC | 30c | 147.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Illinois | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed USC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked USC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed USC | 66c | 133.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Illinois | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…9f71backed USC | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Illinois | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked USC | 68c | 108.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Illinois | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…740bbacked Illinois | 61c | 106.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed USC | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Illinois | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Illinois | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed USC | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Illinois | 50c | 88.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Illinois | 30c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…8763backed Illinois | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Illinois | 64c | 61.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Illinois | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed USC | 60c | 59.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Illinois | 29c | 58.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Illinois | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked USC | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Illinois | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de6…05a6backed Illinois | 38c | 47.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked USC | 68c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois | 52c | 44.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked USC | 68c | 40.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed USC | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…c8dfbacked USC | 60c | 34.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Illinois | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Illinois | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…b363backed Illinois | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked USC | 43c | 30.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC vs. Illinoisthis page
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Spread: USC (-6.5)Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.