TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Texas vs. Ohio State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohio Stateof Texas, Ohio State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,315,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,472,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,315,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Texas45c326,542$147,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,733.227846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Ohio State53c237,072$124,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,112.7937749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Ohio State51c196,052$99,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,065.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Texas47c104,778$49,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,739.9215539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas42c82,289$34,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,212.7868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Texas47c60,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Ohio State52c42,829$22,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,558.0332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Texas49c32,347$15,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9902450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Ohio State51c28,879$14,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,150.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ohio State51c20,283$10,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,938.724163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Ohio State54c18,515$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,516.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Texas50c17,957$8,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,978.511846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texas25c17,198$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.2130949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Ohio State53c13,115$6,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,123.488149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Texas47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Texas49c9,104$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.863342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Texas47c8,920$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Texas47c8,460$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Texas45c7,715$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4361850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Ohio State51c7,650$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.56547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Texas48c7,325$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.67825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Ohio State50c7,228$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6149750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Ohio State61c7,018$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+226.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Texas47c6,898$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Texas31c6,563$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Texas49c6,515$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.346541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Texas48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Texas47c6,097$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.473036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Texas48c6,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Texas49c6,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9101030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Texas16c5,836$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.746450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ohio State52c5,515$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.0950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ohio State51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45017048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Texas47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35080%0 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de3…26fdbacked Texas49c4,663$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…9d84backed Texas44c4,515$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ea…0fc1backed Ohio State78c4,284$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Texas47c4,012$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.747545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c95…4d15backed Texas21c3,802$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…bfcebacked Texas48c3,647$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Texas48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4402330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Ohio State51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3721258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Ohio State76c2,633$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.98988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Texas13c2,556$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.262548%12 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Texas47c2,500$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ohio State51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22540549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f6…4581backed Texas3c2,300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7180%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Texas39c2,149$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.037335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Ohio State51c2,090$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.36835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Texas48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Ohio State58c2,066$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.092653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texas21c2,002$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.545438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Texas42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84019120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Ohio State51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98016747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Texas29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Texas15c1,999$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7824229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Ohio State69c1,960$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1826750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Texas32c1,957$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.061915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-61.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Texas26c1,921$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.492737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be6…00f2backed Texas47c1,889$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ohio State59c1,849$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.1186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ohio State51c1,832$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.3749253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Ohio State77c1,794$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Ohio State72c1,748$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Texas48c1,670$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.65356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Texas50c1,638$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.955756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Texas49c1,579$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.8440%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Ohio State72c1,555$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7423751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Texas47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7055334%18 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Texas41c1,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Texas51c1,395$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.438078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb2b…fedcbacked Texas15c1,335$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…1211backed Texas50c1,306$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Texas34c1,242$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.767929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Ohio State73c1,180$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.263265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Ohio State51c1,133$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.173759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas26c1,110$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Ohio State51c1,103$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.4781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texas47c1,052$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4426147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Ohio State51c1,039$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Ohio State74c1,034$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio State52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48013432.8%44 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Ohio State51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5806…ecf7backed Texas49c970$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Ohio State52c857.69$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.69560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Texas47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Texas38c784.21$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Ohio State75c768.35$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.335954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Ohio State53c757.36$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.962040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Texas27c700$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas26c691.72$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…79cabacked Texas26c661.89$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Texas47c636.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas33c632.4$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf455…195bbacked Texas48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6414…fa27backed Texas49c605$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…3a6cbacked Texas48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ohio State64c584.64$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8349443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Texas31c584.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.144868.8%33 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.