World Politics · resolved market
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17cd926896aa499bea870e218dc2e32c99f102237e6ae90f49f4b03d69cac4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,311,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,323,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,311,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 272,139$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 242,474$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 0c | 186,504$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 163,333$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 0c | 156,624$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…a5b7backed Yes | 0c | 140,500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 0c | 93,245$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.38 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…07c7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 4c | 50,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…8c06backed Yes | 0c | 49,975$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…b655backed Yes | 0c | 45,615$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8ab0backed Yes | 5c | 38,981$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…f65ebacked Yes | 7c | 35,396$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 29,201$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…c961backed Yes | 2c | 26,901$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe5…b65dbacked Yes | 4c | 26,458$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…b200backed Yes | 4c | 24,247$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…c453backed Yes | 8c | 23,181$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 3c | 22,860$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…2909backed Yes | 8c | 22,235$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…b673backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe765…4ae2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,846$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…7d19backed Yes | 4c | 17,788$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…7b98backed Yes | 2c | 17,125$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 4c | 17,007$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…2edbbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes | 8c | 16,987$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,671$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 16,087$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.66 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…3f1bbacked Yes | 6c | 15,614$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 0c | 15,333$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…a3f1backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes | 6c | 14,877$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…2e08backed Yes | 1c | 13,442$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…54a0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed Yes | 4c | 12,177$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513f…3180backed Yes | 0c | 11,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…55a2backed Yes | 1c | 10,620$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 0c | 10,332$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…795cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…c01bbacked Yes | 10c | 9,982$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…9cc4backed Yes | 5c | 9,775$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 5c | 9,240$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…9394backed Yes | 9c | 9,083$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…8a41backed Yes | 6c | 8,783$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…089ebacked Yes | 5c | 7,807$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 6c | 7,691$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.83 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…a8e7backed Yes | 4c | 7,689$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 5c | 7,440$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 6c | 7,333$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 7,191$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 4c | 7,078$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 7,046$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.15 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…d8e0backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes | 3c | 6,834$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…6b18backed Yes | 7c | 6,677$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…cfbcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,548$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…7243backed Yes | 0c | 6,521$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…4d11backed Yes | 5c | 6,340$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…3ea0backed Yes | 1c | 5,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…0e71backed Yes | 2c | 5,765$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…35edbacked Yes | 2c | 5,391$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…4740backed Yes | 6c | 5,341$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…84e6backed Yes | 4c | 5,306$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…7f5ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…1f55backed Yes | 0c | 5,130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…c6f3backed Yes | 0c | 5,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692a…afd6backed Yes | 0c | 5,030$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…cea7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed Yes | 4c | 4,955$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +509.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 5c | 4,882$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…b747backed Yes | 1c | 4,871$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,701$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…66ffbacked Yes | 5c | 4,657$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…4faebacked Yes | 5c | 4,572$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…740bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…09a7backed Yes | 1c | 4,417$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…b32abacked Yes | 5c | 4,255$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…42f1backed Yes | 3c | 4,220$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 4,210$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 4c | 4,169$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…45ccbacked Yes | 6c | 4,169$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Yes | 3c | 4,160$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7a9dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 12c | 4,092$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…14a9backed Yes | 6c | 3,993$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 0c | 3,978$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…4810backed Yes | 13c | 3,863$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 11c | 3,662$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…39f5backed Yes | 3c | 3,395$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 4c | 3,265$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?this page
- Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.