Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b2042734243b3fd1f411f98e716367052941d574dc95564f2beeda271917280

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,607,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,244,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,607,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes	5c	279,999$14,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,029.95	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes	11c	266,568$30,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,589.83	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7177…ddefbacked Yes	10c	254,025$25,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,468.34	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes	0c	220,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	32cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	7c	117,000$8,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,261.92	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…295ebacked Yes	5c	90,035$4,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,307.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	10c	80,731$8,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,273.47	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce66…cc64backed Yes	6c	71,883$4,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,616.79	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes	0c	46,401$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.4	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	26c	29,993$7,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,705.14	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes	6c	25,132$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.84	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes	5c	22,796$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	6c	20,000$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.54	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8365…e9a6backed No	77c	19,343$14,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,378.02	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	12c	17,877$2,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,228.83	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	7c	16,274$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.95	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	2c	12,620$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.18	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	15c	12,565$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,891.52	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef3…5fdabacked Yes	0c	12,477$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes	6c	11,256$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.24	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	11,088$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.77	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	0c	11,020$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x685b…2d04backed Yes	47c	10,630$4,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,960	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	7c	9,099$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.78	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes	12c	8,830$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.4	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes	33c	8,301$2,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,770.86	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	16c	7,988$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.26	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-71%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	21c	7,681$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650.15	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb059…830cbacked Yes	4c	7,598$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes	28c	7,407$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080.17	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x060e…1961backed Yes	3c	7,186$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Yes	25c	7,149$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,809.54	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	1c	6,872$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd71…d127backed No	69c	6,295$4,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,954.13	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes	4c	6,117$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.9	83	28.9%24 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,885$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…9056backed Yes	6c	5,099$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	4c	5,028$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.42	72	25%18 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes	3c	4,736$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.02	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8943…f226backed Yes	46c	4,674$2,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,162	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes	8c	4,673$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.03	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ba…835abacked Yes	2c	4,658$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.59	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5508…5a29backed Yes	34c	4,412$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	5c	4,195$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.95	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	0c	3,744$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	135	8.1%11 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Yes	15c	3,579$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	3,541$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	7c	3,421$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.01	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+147.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19e4…f11bbacked Yes	5c	3,420$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	13c	3,192$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.55	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Yes	37c	3,102$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.33	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	16c	3,034$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.37	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes	3c	3,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	11c	2,812$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.03	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…5e16backed Yes	13c	2,803$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.41	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7b…265ebacked Yes	2c	2,800$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Yes	5c	2,746$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed Yes	3c	2,600$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes	7c	2,446$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.87	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	2c	2,289$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9804…6896backed No	50c	2,242$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.27	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+114.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes	11c	2,242$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.89	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+7.4wins	+0.31per pick	15cpaid	+216.1%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x05da…ae41backed Yes	9c	2,085$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes	12c	2,074$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes	28c	2,037$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff30…4a37backed Yes	17c	1,996$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.94	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d5…9562backed Yes	3c	1,988$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c00…0788backed Yes	8c	1,974$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.02	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	5c	1,961$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.82	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb47…709dbacked Yes	27c	1,943$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes	2c	1,833$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde6f…4a7bbacked Yes	19c	1,831$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes	5c	1,800$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.98	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes	4c	1,772$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.35	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	14c	1,760$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.51	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	12c	1,748$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.7	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	13c	1,610$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.78	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…6808backed Yes	2c	1,500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	10cpaid	+178.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1b…acd1backed No	72c	1,454$1,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes	3c	1,430$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb466…4340backed Yes	11c	1,400$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes	1c	1,365$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked Yes	14c	1,343$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.6	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae5e…4046backed Yes	51c	1,329$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.95	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes	26c	1,292$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.33	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…2e21backed Yes	2c	1,235$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd75c…3869backed Yes	2c	1,209$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ff…bb52backed Yes	42c	1,177$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.66	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf9…ededbacked Yes	44c	1,151$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	7c	1,130$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.73	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	23c	1,120$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.5	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed Yes	13c	1,112$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	1,100$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.99	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf8e…4590backed Yes	2c	1,098$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3814…f0bfbacked No	74c	1,058$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.11	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdec8…46c3backed No	72c	1,024$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3539…d9f5backed Yes	27c	1,019$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fa…e908backed Yes	5c	1,007$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.63	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	20cpaid	+162.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6481…cec1backed Yes	11c	1,000$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?this page
Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes won
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event