World Politics · resolved market
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566d830e56572831055d5283bd64af8a300945636a3d6a4bc116c55886298706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,525,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,742,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,525,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 13c | 301,020$39,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,313.58 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 4c | 264,922$11,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 10c | 245,029$25,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,550.29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 0c | 239,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 23c | 192,835$43,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,679.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 6c | 110,000$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,824.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 5c | 102,481$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.45 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 76c | 68,051$51,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,339.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…295ebacked No | 6c | 63,949$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…9056backed No | 9c | 63,199$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 4c | 60,335$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.07 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 2c | 60,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 60c | 45,201$27,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,149.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 10c | 44,179$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.87 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 13c | 42,000$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.64 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…4c69backed No | 0c | 40,724$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 73c | 40,273$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,873.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 11c | 40,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 74c | 38,694$28,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,939.55 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 5c | 30,348$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.73 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 8c | 22,562$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.89 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 73c | 17,908$13,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.68 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…66b6backed Yes | 73c | 15,800$11,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 4c | 15,700$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.26 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 11c | 13,764$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.76 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 2c | 12,827$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 26c | 12,744$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 45c | 11,345$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.32 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 70c | 11,179$7,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…835abacked Yes | 27c | 10,249$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,456.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…4590backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 0c | 9,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Yes | 77c | 8,805$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 15c | 8,527$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.52 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed No | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked No | 2c | 7,478$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes | 24c | 7,327$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.13 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 5c | 7,073$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 69c | 6,920$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.21 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 26c | 6,835$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.8 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 76c | 6,527$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…f226backed Yes | 54c | 6,499$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 6c | 5,742$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 69c | 5,571$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.13 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 74c | 5,405$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.41 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 14c | 5,025$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.67 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 13c | 4,793$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.85 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 11c | 4,446$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 6c | 4,444$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed No | 5c | 4,296$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…4309backed Yes | 79c | 4,268$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 14c | 4,232$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.12 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 3,890$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.1 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 21c | 3,780$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.82 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 23c | 3,477$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 22c | 3,387$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15f…2cacbacked No | 3c | 3,299$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 9c | 3,224$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…5860backed No | 6c | 3,211$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…2252backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 61c | 2,953$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.3 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 2,935$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.03 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 13c | 2,913$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.69 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 79c | 2,864$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 77c | 2,790$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,732$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.5 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 27c | 2,728$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.1 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…709dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 57c | 2,617$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.94 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Yes | 35c | 2,559$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 51c | 2,547$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0161…4fecbacked No | 29c | 2,456$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…6082backed No | 12c | 2,336$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…2a4bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,322$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 50c | 2,301$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.53 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…53b3backed No | 32c | 2,144$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 65c | 2,058$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.13 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2b6abacked Yes | 74c | 2,037$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cf…403abacked No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 7c | 2,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 5c | 1,998$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…d463backed Yes | 74c | 1,946$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 4c | 1,904$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…6f55backed Yes | 77c | 1,836$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…15bfbacked Yes | 72c | 1,798$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 70c | 1,774$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.34 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 26c | 1,700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,673$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…e1a3backed Yes | 74c | 1,623$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 80c | 1,615$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…2c34backed No | 2c | 1,594$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed Yes | 73c | 1,585$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…d5a8backed Yes | 73c | 1,550$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,508$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.37 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?this page
- Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.