World Politics · resolved market
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4037ced85ebd734a30727e948abfe77b19fc2ce7ee0560a933d0c080fe076516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,067,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,067,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 783 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd0…b6d8backed Yes | 0c | 594,530$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…7677backed Yes | 0c | 576,730$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…c740backed Yes | 0c | 550,510$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…499dbacked Yes | 0c | 543,970$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…35bcbacked Yes | 0c | 543,650$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d5cbbacked Yes | 0c | 523,360$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…4744backed Yes | 0c | 479,450$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…786cbacked Yes | 0c | 460,830$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb11…4467backed Yes | 0c | 431,410$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…ac17backed Yes | 0c | 423,510$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…2deabacked Yes | 0c | 414,380$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…22f1backed Yes | 0c | 407,610$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…93edbacked Yes | 0c | 402,190$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…9225backed Yes | 0c | 393,250$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…e165backed Yes | 0c | 391,890$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7326…0f3dbacked Yes | 0c | 389,590$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…d952backed Yes | 0c | 380,730$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5875…bf79backed Yes | 0c | 379,510$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…03f5backed Yes | 0c | 376,130$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…9b45backed Yes | 0c | 373,200$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…b46bbacked Yes | 0c | 372,550$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…8dc6backed Yes | 0c | 369,970$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…0d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 367,140$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…8301backed Yes | 0c | 366,660$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…e6bdbacked Yes | 0c | 366,440$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…98e4backed Yes | 0c | 363,890$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…9e1dbacked Yes | 0c | 360,680$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…6bd8backed Yes | 0c | 357,060$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…008fbacked Yes | 0c | 347,220$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…3d37backed Yes | 0c | 343,980$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fe…4152backed Yes | 0c | 339,400$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…2838backed Yes | 0c | 327,620$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…dd3dbacked Yes | 0c | 321,530$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5da…ac3cbacked Yes | 0c | 321,280$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…bf16backed Yes | 0c | 320,920$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…e197backed Yes | 0c | 320,290$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…24bcbacked Yes | 0c | 314,710$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…ce24backed Yes | 0c | 297,320$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…2a31backed Yes | 0c | 289,410$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…2da4backed Yes | 0c | 288,600$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…3c2ebacked Yes | 0c | 276,500$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…14bdbacked Yes | 0c | 275,950$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c50…fd8bbacked Yes | 0c | 262,710$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…19cfbacked Yes | 0c | 249,940$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…36febacked Yes | 0c | 247,560$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…2938backed Yes | 0c | 239,030$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…d807backed Yes | 0c | 221,590$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…b943backed Yes | 0c | 221,060$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…33b1backed Yes | 0c | 219,100$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…a215backed Yes | 0c | 216,010$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…d27abacked Yes | 0c | 211,880$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…a378backed Yes | 0c | 198,610$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f4c2backed Yes | 0c | 198,580$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…cab8backed Yes | 0c | 198,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…05bbbacked Yes | 0c | 197,030$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…9120backed Yes | 0c | 196,030$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…400cbacked Yes | 0c | 195,880$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…91fabacked Yes | 0c | 194,470$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…961cbacked Yes | 0c | 194,100$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…72b1backed Yes | 0c | 193,900$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…8f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 193,350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…c5ccbacked Yes | 0c | 191,570$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…e95cbacked Yes | 0c | 191,530$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80a…bb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 191,120$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…c2e2backed Yes | 0c | 190,830$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…f7cebacked Yes | 0c | 190,650$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…92b8backed Yes | 0c | 190,450$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0267backed Yes | 0c | 190,190$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…4b5cbacked Yes | 0c | 190,110$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…57ebbacked Yes | 0c | 189,620$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…bfabbacked Yes | 0c | 189,490$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1001…c678backed Yes | 0c | 189,460$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5a3abacked Yes | 0c | 189,440$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…8cc2backed Yes | 0c | 189,180$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8323…186cbacked Yes | 0c | 189,020$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…3179backed Yes | 0c | 188,840$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…5ebbbacked Yes | 0c | 187,970$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…2be6backed Yes | 0c | 187,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5946…dc71backed Yes | 0c | 187,590$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…aef6backed Yes | 0c | 187,490$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…aae8backed Yes | 0c | 187,350$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…b7dcbacked Yes | 0c | 187,260$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…d3bfbacked Yes | 0c | 187,240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…8ee1backed Yes | 0c | 187,180$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…dcbfbacked Yes | 0c | 186,960$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…4f0bbacked Yes | 0c | 186,870$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…d738backed Yes | 0c | 186,590$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…69c8backed Yes | 0c | 185,660$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…525bbacked Yes | 0c | 185,540$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…bf2fbacked Yes | 0c | 185,480$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed98…109abacked Yes | 0c | 185,260$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…479abacked Yes | 0c | 185,240$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…157cbacked Yes | 0c | 184,980$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…cf8fbacked Yes | 0c | 184,930$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…4469backed Yes | 0c | 184,780$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…cbd9backed Yes | 0c | 184,720$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd9…0674backed Yes | 0c | 184,270$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…6f1fbacked Yes | 0c | 184,110$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…1a95backed Yes | 0c | 183,980$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…efb8backed Yes | 0c | 183,970$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?this page
- Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes won
- Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
- Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.