College Football · resolved market
USC vs. Notre Dame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf66c9b22421710de79589fe69b5125369763ede935a6818834315656eec0bd0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof USC, Notre Dame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $875,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked USC | 27c | 265,867$72,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,213.54 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed USC | 25c | 141,841$35,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,401.02 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Notre Dame | 77c | 102,174$78,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,687.31 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 67,343$51,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,299.57 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Notre Dame | 70c | 59,484$41,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,784.15 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Notre Dame | 70c | 51,125$35,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,386.91 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Notre Dame | 71c | 50,418$35,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,466.63 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed USC | 17c | 47,320$8,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,044.39 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed USC | 25c | 37,183$9,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.31 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Notre Dame | 72c | 35,611$25,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,030.43 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Notre Dame | 76c | 33,000$25,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Notre Dame | 77c | 27,148$20,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.06 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed USC | 23c | 26,346$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.44 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 25,836$19,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.52 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed USC | 10c | 20,594$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.87 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed USC | 24c | 20,010$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.04 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed USC | 24c | 13,264$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC | 24c | 10,548$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.48 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Notre Dame | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Notre Dame | 77c | 9,669$7,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.19 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked USC | 21c | 9,431$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Notre Dame | 69c | 8,636$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Notre Dame | 72c | 7,551$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.97 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed USC | 22c | 7,538$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.4 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 7,511$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Notre Dame | 66c | 7,253$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.56 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC | 30c | 6,509$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.37 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Notre Dame | 78c | 6,423$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.96 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed USC | 45c | 6,247$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.12 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed USC | 33c | 6,186$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.85 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 6,091$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed USC | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked USC | 27c | 5,075$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.83 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 4,897$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed USC | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Notre Dame | 71c | 4,239$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Notre Dame | 77c | 4,131$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked USC | 24c | 4,083$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed USC | 31c | 3,846$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 3,330$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame | 76c | 2,993$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.69 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed USC | 27c | 2,731$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Notre Dame | 70c | 2,425$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Notre Dame | 75c | 2,383$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.69 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked USC | 27c | 2,287$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.97 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Notre Dame | 66c | 2,221$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Notre Dame | 78c | 2,013$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.82 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked USC | 25c | 2,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Notre Dame | 73c | 1,877$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.89 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked USC | 25c | 1,850$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 1,842$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.08 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked USC | 21c | 1,554$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Notre Dame | 76c | 1,500$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed USC | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed USC | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked USC | 23c | 1,407$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed USC | 27c | 1,297$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.61 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked USC | 31c | 1,294$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed USC | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Notre Dame | 78c | 1,240$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Notre Dame | 76c | 1,220$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Notre Dame | 75c | 1,187$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.74 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Notre Dame | 74c | 1,170$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed USC | 32c | 1,067$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked USC | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Notre Dame | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed USC | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 942$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Notre Dame | 77c | 909$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…5d4abacked USC | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Notre Dame | 76c | 658.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed USC | 23c | 599.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed USC | 24c | 583.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…6788backed USC | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked USC | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked USC | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Notre Dame | 72c | 473.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed USC | 29c | 457.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed USC | 25c | 447$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Notre Dame | 72c | 405.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…9ce5backed USC | 31c | 401.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed USC | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed USC | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked USC | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Notre Dame | 72c | 399.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Notre Dame | 77c | 370.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked USC | 24c | 370.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed USC | 22c | 366.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Notre Dame | 76c | 360.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed USC | 25c | 336$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed USC | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Notre Dame | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…740bbacked USC | 25c | 305.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed USC | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked USC | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…3ea3backed Notre Dame | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked USC | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Notre Dame | 75c | 280.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked USC | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed USC | 28c | 267.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC vs. Notre Damethis page
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)USC won
- Spread: Notre Dame (-9.5)Notre Dame won
- USC vs. Notre Dame: O/U 59.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.