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Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Djokovicof Djokovic, Fritz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,287,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,194,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,287,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bde…8c91backed Fritz20c493,464$98,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,052.3922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Fritz27c256,190$69,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,963.59185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Fritz26c150,062$38,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,673.510845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Djokovic73c115,590$84,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,670.511250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Djokovic65c75,000$48,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,249.9910162.4%63 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Fritz19c68,615$12,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,852.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc56f…75efbacked Fritz35c64,710$22,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,648.634330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Djokovic78c54,908$42,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,108.7110138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fritz24c41,991$10,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,152.271,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Fritz37c38,636$14,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,220.3416140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Fritz35c31,650$11,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,161.919935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Djokovic71c29,947$21,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,626.2514345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Djokovic65c27,238$17,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,604.568052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Djokovic60c20,600$12,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2462653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Djokovic72c20,413$14,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,613.9145737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Djokovic65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0009354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Fritz40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Fritz35c18,969$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,639.153240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Fritz34c18,832$6,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,430.612748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Fritz27c18,706$5,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.28949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Djokovic64c16,000$10,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,76067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Fritz21c12,607$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.528231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Djokovic65c12,406$8,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,302.317057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Fritz36c11,940$4,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,346.923933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Fritz20c11,788$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.5432141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Djokovic68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20064855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Djokovic66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Fritz36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fritz21c8,754$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.1865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Djokovic79c8,513$6,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.761,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Djokovic66c7,777$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Djokovic67c7,500$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47511852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Djokovic66c7,500$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55013253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Fritz20c6,488$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.629130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Fritz28c6,311$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.1311053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Fritz34c5,806$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Djokovic68c5,694$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.1113050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Djokovic73c5,629$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.291450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Djokovic80c5,629$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.551050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Djokovic65c5,500$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.994254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Djokovic75c5,386$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.463441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Djokovic76c5,354$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.311464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Djokovic62c5,311$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.4225244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…2f1fbacked Djokovic64c5,156$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Fritz38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9005950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Djokovic61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Fritz32c4,792$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.1822629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Fritz29c4,252$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.535151%26 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Fritz41c4,215$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.0726039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Djokovic65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40015957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Fritz25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed Djokovic73c3,835$2,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Fritz36c3,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.991540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.614243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Fritz35c3,047$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.866338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Fritz35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb511…dedfbacked Djokovic66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Fritz39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Djokovic62c2,701$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.39245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Fritz33c2,700$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.9312954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Djokovic76c2,587$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Fritz26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65036540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Fritz13c2,363$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1452844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Fritz31c2,328$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.6872957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Djokovic63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Fritz32c1,638$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.311827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked Fritz28c1,620$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Fritz23c1,600$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Fritz35c1,580$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Djokovic61c1,554$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.0138348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Fritz31c1,551$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4863151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Fritz25c1,509$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Djokovic79c1,507$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.553100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4daa…0e1dbacked Djokovic67c1,492$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.43616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Djokovic61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.43268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Fritz35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Fritz24c1,422$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.862927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x837b…e8bebacked Fritz35c1,383$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Djokovic65c1,308$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.691,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Fritz40c1,258$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.214438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Fritz27c1,235$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…e093backed Fritz37c1,201$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Fritz24c1,195$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.82,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x867d…3f3bbacked Fritz34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+174.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Fritz36c1,162$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Djokovic62c1,154$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Djokovic61c1,130$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.691275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Fritz33c1,125$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.55446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Djokovic78c1,118$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.871573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+139.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Fritz26c1,087$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3711457.9%66 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Djokovic65c1,077$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9732548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…332bbacked Djokovic66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Djokovic79c1,033$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.938565.9%56 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…b3debacked Djokovic66c1,030$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Djokovic73c1,000$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fritz34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Djokovic73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27018740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Fritz34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Fritz38c999.99$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Fritz34c999.96$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.