UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f3aeb9fc4aba9cb6fbfef651b7ba767f5b19dfc137043c04e41715b1bd904f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Shevchenko, Weili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,850,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,965,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,850,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Weili | 45c | 752,436$336,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336,267.26 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Shevchenko | 55c | 226,116$124,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,984.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Weili | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Weili | 43c | 191,497$83,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,169.98 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Shevchenko | 54c | 158,923$86,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,693.21 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Shevchenko | 55c | 129,329$70,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,399.83 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Shevchenko | 55c | 125,300$68,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,384.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Shevchenko | 55c | 113,531$62,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,127.65 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Shevchenko | 55c | 110,288$60,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,732.47 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Shevchenko | 55c | 105,078$57,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,285.1 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Weili | 44c | 104,707$45,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,951.18 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Weili | 32c | 92,638$29,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,245.97 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Shevchenko | 56c | 92,262$51,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,805.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Shevchenko | 56c | 79,464$44,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,964.13 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Shevchenko | 56c | 60,342$33,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,712.27 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Weili | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Shevchenko | 57c | 47,617$27,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,551.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Shevchenko | 56c | 47,170$26,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,876.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Shevchenko | 55c | 45,468$24,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,605.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Shevchenko | 56c | 42,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,499.91 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Shevchenko | 56c | 39,327$21,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,451.53 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Shevchenko | 55c | 38,638$21,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,235.04 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Weili | 45c | 32,620$14,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,755.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Weili | 44c | 31,766$13,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,994.7 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Shevchenko | 56c | 31,600$17,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,813.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shevchenko | 55c | 27,500$15,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,375 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…f8cbbacked Shevchenko | 56c | 25,707$14,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,311.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Weili | 8c | 24,995$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.7 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Shevchenko | 56c | 23,500$13,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,339.99 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…562cbacked Weili | 44c | 22,703$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Shevchenko | 55c | 22,088$12,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,977.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00bf…3a0ebacked Weili | 46c | 21,509$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Shevchenko | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…deb6backed Weili | 18c | 19,492$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Weili | 45c | 16,667$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Weili | 46c | 16,304$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Shevchenko | 56c | 15,848$8,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,914.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Weili | 41c | 15,374$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.63 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Shevchenko | 58c | 14,452$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.49 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Weili | 45c | 13,366$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.87 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…f090backed Shevchenko | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Shevchenko | 56c | 12,495$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Shevchenko | 56c | 12,408$6,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.16 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Shevchenko | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…c006backed Weili | 30c | 12,228$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Shevchenko | 56c | 11,700$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Weili | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…f278backed Weili | 45c | 11,333$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Weili | 45c | 11,106$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Weili | 45c | 11,089$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b6…b5abbacked Weili | 4c | 10,266$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Shevchenko | 57c | 10,202$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Weili | 45c | 10,000$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Weili | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Shevchenko | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Weili | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Shevchenko | 57c | 9,649$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Weili | 12c | 9,139$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Weili | 45c | 9,091$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Shevchenko | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Shevchenko | 56c | 8,869$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…def4backed Shevchenko | 56c | 8,800$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…4e39backed Shevchenko | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Shevchenko | 56c | 8,766$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed Shevchenko | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Weili | 8c | 8,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Weili | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Weili | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Weili | 46c | 7,784$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…fff1backed Weili | 45c | 7,696$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Weili | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Shevchenko | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Shevchenko | 56c | 7,137$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279f…5698backed Weili | 42c | 6,920$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…3302backed Shevchenko | 57c | 6,915$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…8338backed Shevchenko | 55c | 6,718$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…62f0backed Weili | 45c | 6,715$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…8686backed Weili | 45c | 6,701$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Shevchenko | 56c | 6,654$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Weili | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Weili | 44c | 6,452$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Weili | 35c | 6,351$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Shevchenko | 55c | 6,315$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Weili | 8c | 6,191$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.99 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Shevchenko | 80c | 6,164$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Weili | 44c | 5,920$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.8 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Weili | 45c | 5,744$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Weili | 44c | 5,669$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Shevchenko | 57c | 5,574$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Weili | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Weili | 43c | 5,555$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.65 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Shevchenko | 54c | 5,500$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.98 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…12a3backed Shevchenko | 55c | 5,412$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…4a9bbacked Weili | 45c | 5,400$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Weili | 4c | 5,363$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Weili | 46c | 5,300$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Weili | 10c | 5,168$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.17 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Shevchenko | 55c | 5,150$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.5 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Weili | 20c | 5,105$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Shevchenko | 56c | 5,020$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Valentina Shevchenko win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Zhang Weili win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.