NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86114dd0c8cb0620543ac867b2c1c38715f6c71e62d2f6580c51c5223e6f3c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof Cardinals, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,381,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,473,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,381,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,353,722$661,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661,775.23 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed 49ers | 51c | 381,046$194,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,402.08 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers | 53c | 175,698$92,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,864.05 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed 49ers | 51c | 135,959$69,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,619.91 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked 49ers | 51c | 130,000$66,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,700 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked 49ers | 52c | 100,000$52,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,900 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed 49ers | 51c | 82,245$41,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,342.5 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed 49ers | 51c | 71,500$36,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,035 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked 49ers | 52c | 67,846$35,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,320.07 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked 49ers | 51c | 60,603$31,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,582.84 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 58,599$27,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,271.77 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed 49ers | 71c | 51,720$36,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,838.49 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 53c | 48,988$26,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,941.13 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked 49ers | 57c | 43,134$24,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,469.4 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked 49ers | 46c | 40,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,499.98 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked 49ers | 51c | 37,500$19,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,375 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Cardinals | 56c | 33,625$18,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,749.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers | 53c | 33,300$17,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,584 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals | 45c | 32,700$14,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,723.03 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…2003backed Cardinals | 45c | 27,916$12,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,562.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed 49ers | 51c | 22,020$11,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 49ers | 59c | 20,195$11,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,227.99 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Cardinals | 41c | 19,735$8,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,091.35 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…d274backed 49ers | 53c | 16,459$8,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 49ers | 51c | 15,677$7,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,723.11 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed 49ers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers | 51c | 14,118$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.82 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 37c | 13,730$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,711.06 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed 49ers | 52c | 12,997$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.77 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 50c | 11,685$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 50c | 11,581$5,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.5 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cardinals | 42c | 10,608$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.46 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked 49ers | 56c | 10,067$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.55 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked 49ers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed 49ers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed 49ers | 57c | 8,788$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.9 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed 49ers | 52c | 8,175$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.99 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals | 34c | 8,105$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.72 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Cardinals | 78c | 8,041$6,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,271.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed 49ers | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 51c | 7,909$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.23 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Cardinals | 51c | 6,395$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 6,205$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.89 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Cardinals | 49c | 6,157$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked 49ers | 50c | 6,003$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.62 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed 49ers | 52c | 5,850$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed 49ers | 42c | 5,499$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed 49ers | 53c | 5,300$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Cardinals | 43c | 5,137$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.1 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 50c | 5,035$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.47 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 5,029$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Cardinals | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 49ers | 58c | 4,971$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 49ers | 56c | 4,880$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 49ers | 51c | 4,873$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.35 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed 49ers | 46c | 4,830$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.43 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Cardinals | 55c | 4,696$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed 49ers | 52c | 4,604$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.35 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 4,557$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.35 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked 49ers | 42c | 4,553$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.52 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 44c | 4,471$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.26 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers | 52c | 4,469$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.43 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 43c | 4,017$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.99 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cardinals | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed 49ers | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Cardinals | 49c | 4,000$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 3,990$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed 49ers | 52c | 3,838$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed 49ers | 54c | 3,765$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers | 48c | 3,484$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.38 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Cardinals | 42c | 3,255$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed 49ers | 54c | 3,008$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.68 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked 49ers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 49ers | 33c | 2,854$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.96 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked 49ers | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked 49ers | 52c | 2,581$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Cardinals | 48c | 2,533$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.91 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 49ers | 47c | 2,521$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.19 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cardinals | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 51c | 2,353$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.94 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed 49ers | 51c | 2,308$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.07 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,292$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cardinals | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 49ers | 48c | 2,183$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.62 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Cardinals | 46c | 2,179$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed 49ers | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.21 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 49ers | 56c | 2,096$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.87 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked 49ers | 57c | 2,029$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.66 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Cardinals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed 49ers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Cardinals | 78c | 1,991$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed 49ers | 53c | 1,966$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.19 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,426$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.84 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed 49ers | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 49c | 1,199$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.88 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. 49ersthis page
- ARI vs. SF: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: SF (-1.5)ARI won
- Spread: SF (-3.5)ARI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.