MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf78a97f4fac96f8b1a152c1c55d99ff5d9927f588568efd232d592779549df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 51c | 74,756$38,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,630.51 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 49c | 27,319$13,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,372.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 72c | 26,782$19,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,627.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 35c | 12,622$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rays | 49c | 10,888$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.12 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Rays | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 23c | 7,463$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 49c | 6,900$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 21c | 6,126$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.77 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 49c | 5,144$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.08 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rays | 49c | 4,660$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 50c | 4,554$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Orioles | 48c | 4,503$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rays | 33c | 4,387$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.86 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 57c | 3,661$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rays | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Rays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 1c | 2,811$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Orioles | 51c | 2,099$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rays | 2c | 2,092$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Rays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Orioles | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rays | 9c | 1,700$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,682$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.1 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,600$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.2 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 52c | 1,488$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.7 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rays | 49c | 1,480$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.43 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 63c | 1,206$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.13 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Orioles | 76c | 1,074$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Rays | 51c | 1,028$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.05 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rays | 24c | 997.06$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 50c | 889.46$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.73 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 49c | 883.37$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.85 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Rays | 52c | 875$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.89 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 51c | 807$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Rays | 53c | 805.87$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.11 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 52c | 768.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Rays | 53c | 732.86$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.87 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Orioles | 65c | 731.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 27c | 685.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 48c | 587.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 76c | 514.79$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 3c | 506.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Orioles | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 49c | 474.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 59c | 445$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 64c | 431.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 47c | 424.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Orioles | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Orioles | 74c | 396.51$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Rays | 50c | 358.56$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Orioles | 57c | 352$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Orioles | 75c | 332$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Rays | 25c | 311$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Rays | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Rays | 33c | 302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Orioles | 50c | 299.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rays | 10c | 273.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Rays | 21c | 260.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Orioles | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rays | 51c | 244.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Orioles | 72c | 235$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Rays | 52c | 230.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Rays | 53c | 225.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…3f7dbacked Rays | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Rays | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Rays | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Rays | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…9026backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…c515backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Rays | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…3450backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.