TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7555…eb08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+55%+$18.76
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.32
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.71
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$31.83
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.32
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.65
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$102.44
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.45
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+83.7%+$118.82
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$95.06
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$70.04
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11.97
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.61
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$36.94
UTSA vs. Colorado Statebacked UTSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$5.94
Marshall vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+70.2%+$47.58
South Carolina vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$14.97
Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabamabacked Coastal Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+57%+$7.67
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$33.16
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Girona win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.79
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+123.9%+$124.99
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$35.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+108.5%+$121.84
Will PEC Zwolle vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$7.66
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.9
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$6.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Metz win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.1
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.