MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05da6faeb60a8f1d0c8ca04412f2e63bad20e78e9b06d0c4f7e0067751aa657a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $922,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 28c | 295,234$82,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,568.17 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mets | 72c | 74,841$53,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,885.56 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 70c | 60,629$42,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,421.19 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 72c | 50,548$36,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,394.56 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 72c | 42,500$30,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,469.52 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Mets | 38c | 41,071$15,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,544.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 36c | 39,284$14,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,326.71 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 66c | 38,085$25,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,071.47 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 29c | 25,000$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,749.95 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Nationals | 52c | 24,628$12,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,841.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nationals | 45c | 22,569$10,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,503.82 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 72c | 20,880$15,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,033.64 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 71c | 18,179$12,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,933.83 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…c8c1backed Nationals | 61c | 14,845$8,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Nationals | 65c | 12,933$8,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 52c | 12,030$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Nationals | 29c | 12,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nationals | 28c | 11,111$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.92 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 70c | 10,619$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mets | 70c | 10,141$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,098.58 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Nationals | 77c | 8,436$6,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Mets | 42c | 7,198$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 38c | 6,565$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.79 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 79c | 6,477$5,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.55 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mets | 49c | 5,987$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 28c | 5,580$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mets | 72c | 5,554$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.6 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 34c | 5,213$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 40c | 5,198$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.35 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Nationals | 36c | 4,999$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.58 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mets | 34c | 4,868$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.78 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 27c | 4,746$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Mets | 45c | 4,500$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mets | 69c | 3,779$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.72 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 57c | 3,753$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 71c | 3,418$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mets | 72c | 3,039$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.79 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 29c | 2,827$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.08 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 42c | 2,763$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Nationals | 79c | 2,377$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mets | 70c | 2,278$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.79 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Nationals | 79c | 2,180$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Mets | 48c | 2,085$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Nationals | 29c | 2,041$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Mets | 71c | 1,954$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.39 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 39c | 1,790$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Nationals | 63c | 1,745$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Nationals | 59c | 1,694$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Mets | 50c | 1,567$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 46c | 1,485$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.15 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 29c | 1,400$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.22 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 64c | 1,388$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 72c | 1,200$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Nationals | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Mets | 44c | 1,156$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked Mets | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Mets | 72c | 1,051$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Mets | 52c | 933.89$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.68 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mets | 75c | 929.99$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.68 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mets | 39c | 787.18$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mets | 61c | 783.03$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.64 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 71c | 704$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mets | 47c | 700$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mets | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 76c | 673.77$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.55 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets | 50c | 648.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.85 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mets | 71c | 626.76$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 56c | 610.5$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…67e0backed Nationals | 73c | 573.87$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mets | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 28c | 560.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 28c | 523$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Mets | 60c | 505.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 71c | 499$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.29 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 37c | 450$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Mets | 71c | 420$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 29c | 414$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.94 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Mets | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Mets | 71c | 375.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Mets | 30c | 373.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Nationals | 28c | 342.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 64c | 329.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Mets | 71c | 304.84$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 50c | 304.71$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Nationals | 68c | 294.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Nationals | 44c | 288.86$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Mets | 14c | 287.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Nationals | 39c | 281.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 61c | 279.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mets | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.