MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66f9b2042a0a22201dbc0bc357299baf49a82b07984068bbc58b34c90f9fb805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rockies, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 27c | 94,801$25,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,576.73 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 73c | 74,295$54,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,059.57 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 62c | 59,837$37,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,629.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockies | 40c | 17,287$6,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,877.69 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Mariners | 74c | 15,750$11,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.59 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 73c | 14,903$10,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.7 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockies | 27c | 14,687$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.48 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockies | 27c | 14,444$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.88 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 28c | 11,162$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,001.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies | 35c | 11,161$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.38 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Rockies | 23c | 10,801$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.53 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 27c | 10,010$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.7 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockies | 39c | 9,855$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.8 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Rockies | 77c | 8,801$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,769.61 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 66c | 8,069$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.77 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 28c | 7,143$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rockies | 80c | 5,346$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Rockies | 27c | 5,011$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies | 27c | 4,711$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 39c | 4,327$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Mariners | 73c | 3,569$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockies | 47c | 3,050$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 28c | 3,000$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.19 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rockies | 27c | 2,900$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.02 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Mariners | 73c | 2,853$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Rockies | 79c | 2,482$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Rockies | 27c | 2,419$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rockies | 20c | 2,275$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 74c | 2,122$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.85 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mariners | 68c | 1,966$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.53 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockies | 50c | 1,906$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 72c | 1,792$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.67 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Mariners | 63c | 1,532$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Mariners | 73c | 1,418$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Rockies | 72c | 1,369$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 20c | 1,271$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…7abdbacked Rockies | 29c | 1,077$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Mariners | 72c | 1,076$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners | 73c | 975.21$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.31 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 19c | 911.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 44c | 894.8$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mariners | 39c | 842.18$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.57 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rockies | 47c | 779.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 31c | 760.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 32c | 741.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rockies | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Mariners | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Mariners | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 73c | 689.33$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Rockies | 40c | 672$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 73c | 600$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Rockies | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 27c | 595.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies | 31c | 595$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rockies | 9c | 530$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Mariners | 70c | 512$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rockies | 31c | 503.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Mariners | 66c | 500.04$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mariners | 31c | 483.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.89 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mariners | 41c | 478$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Rockies | 46c | 436.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Rockies | 42c | 426.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Mariners | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rockies | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 61c | 402.26$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 68c | 399.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Mariners | 28c | 399.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.31 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Mariners | 74c | 382.31$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mariners | 71c | 353.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Mariners | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 7c | 342.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…f4a1backed Rockies | 29c | 314.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 65c | 308.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Mariners | 78c | 306.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Mariners | 72c | 305$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Rockies | 28c | 278.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Mariners | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rockies | 10c | 216$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mariners | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Rockies | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Mariners | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Mariners | 49c | 188.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…65dcbacked Mariners | 71c | 180.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rockies | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Mariners | 29c | 171.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 61c | 164.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 73c | 164.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rockies | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.