WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs. Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe57d2f9be965ee89ef8ee454e084cb951cdb67e85f30e9d8904447c23e19b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Liberty, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mercury | 58c | 15,175$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,416.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Liberty | 42c | 13,439$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mercury | 65c | 9,609$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.82 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Liberty | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mercury | 57c | 4,720$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Liberty | 37c | 3,975$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Liberty | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Liberty | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Liberty | 46c | 1,944$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty | 35c | 1,584$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.05 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Liberty | 44c | 1,509$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.75 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Liberty | 19c | 1,442$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 18c | 1,198$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mercury | 66c | 935$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mercury | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Mercury | 56c | 870$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mercury | 55c | 864.53$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Liberty | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mercury | 56c | 783.81$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.89 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mercury | 68c | 735.07$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Liberty | 31c | 705$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Liberty | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Liberty | 43c | 662.56$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Mercury | 57c | 657.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mercury | 57c | 636$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Liberty | 43c | 585$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liberty | 24c | 531$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Mercury | 65c | 440$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Liberty | 50c | 404$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Liberty | 43c | 398.15$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Liberty | 30c | 379.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Liberty | 43c | 351.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 30c | 321.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mercury | 58c | 316.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Liberty | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Liberty | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Liberty | 45c | 221.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mercury | 57c | 219.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mercury | 57c | 218.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Mercury | 57c | 184.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mercury | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mercury | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mercury | 56c | 178.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Liberty | 44c | 163.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Liberty | 42c | 155.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Mercury | 61c | 142.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liberty | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Mercury | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…2aa2backed Mercury | 60c | 106.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…253cbacked Liberty | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Liberty | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…9a29backed Mercury | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Liberty | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mercury | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mercury | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mercury | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Mercury | 60c | 80.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Mercury | 57c | 77.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Mercury | 66c | 75.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Liberty | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9f33backed Liberty | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed Liberty | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Liberty | 45c | 59.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Mercury | 61c | 58.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercury | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Liberty | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Liberty | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liberty | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed Liberty | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Mercury | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…5f44backed Liberty | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Mercury | 69c | 39.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Liberty | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Mercury | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Liberty | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Liberty | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Mercury | 58c | 27.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Liberty | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…4b49backed Mercury | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…4961backed Mercury | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Liberty | 43c | 26.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Mercury | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…9e97backed Mercury | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…8af2backed Mercury | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…fceebacked Mercury | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.