TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75a4…ab08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT9133%30 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.33
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.2
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$130.42
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$157.89
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.08
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.89
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$117.5
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.01
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$70.03
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.89
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$122.06
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$66.19
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.37
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.39
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$94.39
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$52.57
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$138.97
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$176.71
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.05
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+483.7%+$336.76
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+173.8%+$61.54
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+46%+$45.66
Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.25
Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.89
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$92.07
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.49
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$48.39
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$70.85
Saints vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$20.54
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.63
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: IND (-3.5)backed IND · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$40.89
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: BUF (-13.5)backed MIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
MIA vs. BUF: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$85.65
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.15
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+59%+$29.52
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$26.18
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.88
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$43.64
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dplus vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.