Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f24dd6259092db51a6c5ac6e92d79e95c614ffed766ad9ac30b8fb2efbaa5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,914$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.51 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 880$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 67c | 777.38$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 745.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 686.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 646.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 554.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 450.39$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 408$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 31c | 325.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 31c | 249.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 236.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 159.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 152.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 11c | 146.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 73c | 145.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 35c | 141.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 132$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 106.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 29c | 98.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 18c | 87.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 84.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 78c | 65.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 32c | 47.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 33.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 25.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.