Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95628db1c44fee90acbc246ef4ac68f87ba8a7dbb373d8897b19560470203628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 76c | 3,710$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 3,115$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.7 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 39c | 1,731$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,150$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 859.77$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.37 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 659.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 72c | 581.22$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 54c | 559.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 39c | 522$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 400.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 320$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 29c | 320$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 72c | 217$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 10c | 202.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 69c | 182.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 38c | 153.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 7c | 140.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 18c | 132.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 65c | 127.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 21c | 120.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 110.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 34c | 98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed No | 73c | 95.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 46c | 95.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 93.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 92.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 91.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 82.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fe…3fe3backed Yes | 74c | 79.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 59c | 68.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 18c | 64.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 62c | 62.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…1391backed Yes | 18c | 57.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…67b9backed Yes | 45c | 49.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 48.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 77c | 47.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 23c | 46.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 34c | 36.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 68c | 26.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 55c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 62c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…54b5backed Yes | 43c | 23.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 72c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked No | 77c | 22.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…754fbacked Yes | 53c | 19.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…3d44backed Yes | 67c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2526backed Yes | 73c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.