TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No39c16,530$6,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,094.3713053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,10015647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c9,912$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.8747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,880560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c5,208$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.573,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c5,007$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.451,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.952157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes61c2,795$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.3725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes62c2,790$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.898661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c1,576$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7715341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c1,566$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0421545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c1,230$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c1,021$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1943522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes27c972.87$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c888.5$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.2797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes62c804.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Yes61c803.63$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes55c773.45$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No38c724.01$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.5980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked No44c677.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.883652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No39c646.08$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.015024%12 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c567.57$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes61c451.76$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes5c400.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c399.73$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5c…8080backed Yes62c276.21$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.314129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes9c247.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.152334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c247$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No39c212$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c192.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4868550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No40c174.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c173.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No40c162.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes26c151.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c145.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c141.87$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c139.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c129$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No61c123.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes32c120.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c108.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes63c96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No40c80.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.582263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No38c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.230735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No39c72.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5537138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No37c69.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.126248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd667…dbcbbacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes62c60.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No38c58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.968552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes56c53.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No39c51.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bd…1d46backed Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes62c47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d8…332bbacked Yes62c46.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes58c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.514438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes57c44.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed No39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x473a…addcbacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No40c37.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.278251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes61c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.135633.9%19 W · 37 L-9.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes61c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.138942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No37c32.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3210648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.783333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes62c25.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.923250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Yes63c25.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed No45c23.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Yes62c22.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed Yes62c22.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x791b…6e13backed Yes62c20.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5740%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Yes61c19.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes62c19.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.264951%25 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No67c16.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.475251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb9…54b5backed No79c12.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.