NFL · resolved market

Spread: BUF (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ae92a1995b5e9db51c050446d7b8e3dd79786a0978c0b2f0ccef962a7ca2de

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MIAof BUF, MIA
Resolved: Sep 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,417 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked MIA	57c	50,164$28,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,662.11	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+12.6wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed BUF	43c	31,211$13,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,420.71	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked MIA	57c	9,406$5,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,082.59	418	51.9%217 W · 201 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed MIA	56c	8,500$4,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,739.99	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BUF	43c	8,000$3,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,440	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed BUF	45c	7,740$3,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,483	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked BUF	44c	6,933$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050.45	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed BUF	43c	5,551$2,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,386.84	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed MIA	57c	5,495$3,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,362.73	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked BUF	43c	3,751$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.92	97	32%31 W · 66 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked MIA	56c	3,640$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.6	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked BUF	44c	3,631$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.6	297	51.5%153 W · 144 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed MIA	57c	3,509$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.77	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+246.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66ed…5e32backed BUF	55c	2,698$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed MIA	55c	2,500$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.98	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed BUF	44c	2,040$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.57	149	26.2%39 W · 110 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked BUF	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2f…cff5backed BUF	44c	1,882$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed BUF	43c	1,500$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.99	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked BUF	44c	1,402$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.88	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed MIA	54c	1,299$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.13	211	51.2%108 W · 103 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed BUF	45c	1,226$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.49	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed BUF	46c	1,181$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.11	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed MIA	47c	1,166$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.24	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked BUF	44c	1,125$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BUF	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked BUF	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed BUF	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-7.8wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6306…852abacked MIA	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked BUF	44c	976.24$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.55	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed MIA	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed BUF	44c	765$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.6	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked BUF	44c	738$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.72	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed BUF	47c	735.29$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-6.5wins	-0.28per pick	54cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed MIA	57c	505.41$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.47	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MIA	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	236	47%111 W · 125 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd4…b11dbacked MIA	57c	360$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed BUF	16c	351.04$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.84	611	48.6%297 W · 314 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed MIA	57c	350$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed BUF	45c	333.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed MIA	56c	315.39$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.77	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed BUF	44c	307.48$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.29	145	50.3%73 W · 72 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fe…ad41backed MIA	57c	299.79$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.91	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed BUF	44c	272.59$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.94	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37a…2564backed BUF	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed BUF	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked BUF	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa555…2d6fbacked BUF	44c	220$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ed…b35abacked BUF	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed BUF	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked MIA	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	315	40.6%128 W · 187 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed MIA	56c	180$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed MIA	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked BUF	44c	153$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	143	37.8%54 W · 89 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed MIA	56c	130$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed BUF	44c	125$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MIA	57c	115.79$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.79	245	47.8%117 W · 128 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed MIA	55c	112.67$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.7	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed BUF	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	375	56.3%211 W · 164 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed BUF	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	206	32%66 W · 140 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed BUF	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	175	47.4%83 W · 92 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed MIA	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	242	43.4%105 W · 137 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked BUF	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5254…5f7dbacked MIA	57c	96.49$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.49	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed BUF	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	66	25.8%17 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed BUF	44c	89.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked MIA	58c	86.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.83	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed BUF	42c	85.64$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.97	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed MIA	57c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed BUF	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	83	53%44 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed BUF	44c	72.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…c0e0backed BUF	32c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked BUF	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	177	41.8%74 W · 103 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked BUF	42c	59.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75a4…ab08backed MIA	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed MIA	48c	51.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.89	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…4c2bbacked BUF	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd7…0e39backed BUF	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed BUF	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	266	60.9%162 W · 104 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed BUF	44c	48.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked MIA	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	118	55.9%66 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe630…1faebacked MIA	57c	42.44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf9…48e2backed BUF	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked BUF	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	170	60.6%103 W · 67 L	+12.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked MIA	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	138	45.7%63 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0d…3d76backed BUF	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	106	60.4%64 W · 42 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed11…a858backed MIA	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.22per pick	36cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecf5…6a01backed MIA	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38d4…47d8backed BUF	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0b…53aabacked BUF	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2059…5203backed BUF	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed MIA	57c	29.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked BUF	44c	27.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	162	75.3%122 W · 40 L	+17.3wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfca9…cb3dbacked MIA	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf0…309ebacked MIA	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df6…4992backed BUF	44c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-5.0wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed BUF	43c	24.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked MIA	54c	20.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.22	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c49…a3cebacked MIA	74c	18.27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.75	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: BUF (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event