NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c0b603c19203e32954bdf23de719010e9f4f67791c2d438d9b98b994647f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,956,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,750,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,956,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 5c | 309,873$15,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,493.66 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…5746backed Lakers | 0c | 191,013$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 5c | 178,937$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,946.86 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lakers | 5c | 120,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.98 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lakers | 6c | 96,050$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.95 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers | 7c | 85,822$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.55 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 5c | 68,220$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Lakers | 6c | 61,641$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.41 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Lakers | 6c | 53,601$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.04 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers | 7c | 53,436$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.35 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 6c | 50,699$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.05 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Lakers | 6c | 50,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 5c | 48,966$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.15 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Lakers | 6c | 47,180$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 5c | 33,806$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Lakers | 6c | 29,215$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 4c | 28,805$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Lakers | 6c | 28,570$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 7c | 25,562$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…84a7backed Lakers | 1c | 24,310$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 1c | 22,007$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x244a…07c8backed Lakers | 5c | 19,896$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 6c | 18,575$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 5c | 18,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 8c | 16,372$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.18 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Lakers | 5c | 15,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.5 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Lakers | 8c | 14,172$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.76 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 5c | 14,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.01 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lakers | 7c | 13,500$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lakers | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Lakers | 5c | 12,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Lakers | 8c | 11,538$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Lakers | 7c | 11,100$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lakers | 7c | 10,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 4c | 10,359$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.36 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Lakers | 6c | 10,222$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.34 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Lakers | 6c | 10,086$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.19 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Lakers | 6c | 9,751$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.03 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 6c | 9,642$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.52 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 6c | 9,435$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.49 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 6c | 8,948$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.86 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lakers | 5c | 8,630$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.69 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 6c | 8,538$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Lakers | 6c | 8,499$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.14 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lakers | 4c | 8,067$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.49 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Lakers | 6c | 7,863$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.8 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…b601backed Lakers | 6c | 7,863$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…3a90backed Lakers | 9c | 6,824$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lakers | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Lakers | 8c | 6,392$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 10c | 6,345$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.48 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e589backed Lakers | 8c | 6,190$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lakers | 6c | 6,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…3b06backed Lakers | 6c | 5,992$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.51 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lakers | 8c | 5,861$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Lakers | 6c | 5,820$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Lakers | 8c | 5,669$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 6c | 5,650$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Lakers | 6c | 5,633$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lakers | 16c | 5,548$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.8 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 9c | 5,291$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 1c | 5,064$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Lakers | 6c | 4,820$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Lakers | 4c | 4,736$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Lakers | 6c | 4,718$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…623bbacked Lakers | 7c | 4,201$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Lakers | 6c | 4,195$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.68 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…d098backed Lakers | 6c | 4,155$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Lakers | 8c | 4,088$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 6c | 4,083$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lakers | 6c | 4,020$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Lakers | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Lakers | 6c | 3,932$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers | 0c | 3,825$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Lakers | 6c | 3,759$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.52 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…0759backed Lakers | 6c | 3,539$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…a045backed Lakers | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Lakers | 8c | 3,427$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.22 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…1c8cbacked Lakers | 6c | 3,423$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 4c | 3,313$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Lakers | 6c | 3,130$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 183 | 32.2%59 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…ead8backed Lakers | 7c | 3,129$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lakers | 7c | 3,107$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…e557backed Lakers | 6c | 3,100$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…4e51backed Lakers | 6c | 3,018$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…991cbacked Lakers | 6c | 2,987$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…c577backed Lakers | 6c | 2,950$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Lakers | 6c | 2,911$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Lakers | 4c | 2,487$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…9719backed Lakers | 8c | 2,401$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3d45backed Lakers | 7c | 2,373$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…60fbbacked Lakers | 1c | 2,370$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Lakers | 8c | 2,332$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…466bbacked Lakers | 8c | 2,232$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Lakers | 6c | 2,200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Lakers | 9c | 2,174$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lakers | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Lakers | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Lakers | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Lakers | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.