NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-18.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d15dbf15a26da22a676920b37fca9cb6c1a9ef661231f1ed175ee3bd1abf53

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,514 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lakers	48c	9,265$4,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,446.59	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers	52c	8,499$4,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,452.59	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Lakers	53c	8,222$4,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,350.42	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder	57c	5,487$3,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,360.84	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder	66c	4,627$3,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,556.46	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Thunder	49c	3,588$1,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,832.77	93	57%53 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder	47c	3,377$1,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.68	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Lakers	54c	3,266$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.86	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Thunder	45c	2,500$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.99	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Thunder	47c	2,453$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.09	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Thunder	49c	2,439$1,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.6	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Thunder	47c	2,371$1,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.66	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers	52c	1,987$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.35	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	47c	1,755$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.29	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Thunder	73c	1,609$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.7	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Thunder	53c	1,324$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.62	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25fe…fcd4backed Thunder	49c	1,316$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Thunder	46c	1,100$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf7…d180backed Lakers	53c	1,005$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Thunder	47c	978.85$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.79	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Lakers	50c	970$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Thunder	48c	840.09$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.85	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Lakers	52c	815.28$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.43	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Thunder	56c	688.24$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.04	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers	50c	685.75$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.17	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Thunder	49c	593.51$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.69	118	73.7%87 W · 31 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Lakers	53c	583.08$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.03	105	59%62 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers	50c	563.71$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.86	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec3c…8a53backed Thunder	49c	534.86$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Thunder	46c	514.54$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.85	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers	51c	511.64$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.69	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Lakers	51c	470.44$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.64	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Thunder	52c	388.35$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.11	275	53.5%147 W · 128 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Lakers	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Lakers	30c	338.46$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.54	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers	45c	311.86$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.58	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Lakers	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Lakers	55c	299.98$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.49	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Thunder	48c	299.98$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.99	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Thunder	49c	296.76$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.35	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Thunder	47c	281.88$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.39	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Lakers	57c	254.93$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.08	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Thunder	49c	218.77$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.57	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef25…c969backed Thunder	53c	215.12$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.13	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Lakers	52c	207$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.64	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Thunder	47c	206$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.18	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers	54c	196.29$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.77	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Thunder	48c	190.26$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.85	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a99…721dbacked Lakers	41c	187$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers	43c	179.07$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	46c	178.03$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Lakers	48c	170.9$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.38	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Thunder	46c	170$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Thunder	52c	168.67$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.32	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Thunder	55c	166.98$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.6	166	53.6%89 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Thunder	47c	164.8$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.34	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Thunder	46c	150$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Lakers	66c	140.45$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.08	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-9.8wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf958…99a0backed Lakers	13c	128.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder	49c	105.93$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.38	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Thunder	47c	105$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Thunder	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Thunder	48c	100.92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.48	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Thunder	53c	92.69$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Lakers	52c	90.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.03	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Thunder	48c	85.92$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.68	276	46.7%129 W · 147 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Lakers	49c	76.84$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.74	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Thunder	49c	72.82$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Thunder	47c	72.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.21	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Lakers	55c	70.66$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Thunder	55c	67.74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.48	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Lakers	50c	54.7$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Lakers	54c	54.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Lakers	48c	53.49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Thunder	48c	52.54$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.33	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Lakers	56c	52.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Thunder	47c	51.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	125	48%60 W · 65 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Lakers	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Lakers	53c	45.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	108	50%54 W · 54 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Lakers	34c	42.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Thunder	47c	41.2$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb271…34d4backed Thunder	49c	39.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+3.8wins	+0.32per pick	52cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers	54c	38.9$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lakers	46c	38.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Thunder	47c	37.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.84	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Thunder	52c	37.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	387	51.2%198 W · 189 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Thunder	49c	35.06$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.88	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Thunder	70c	35.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder	39c	33.85$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Thunder	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Thunder	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba77…efa0backed Thunder	49c	29.68$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.13	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Thunder	49c	29.68$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.13	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Thunder	48c	28.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.72	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lakers	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1246…9fbdbacked Lakers	54c	26.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder	46c	24.95$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.42	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Thunder	47c	24.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Thunder	49c	23.74$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.11	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-18.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-18.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event