NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08842d02b5fe00da9d46d9625cae42ee38c0ebc4e44f20bdc4245bc8caeba96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 49c | 100,496$49,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,227.67 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 53c | 81,264$43,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,179.79 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 51c | 79,680$40,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,044.73 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Lakers | 47c | 32,635$15,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,338.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Thunder | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 47c | 28,874$13,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,643.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers | 45c | 19,979$8,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,990.68 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 47c | 15,209$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.93 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder | 55c | 11,212$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.47 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Lakers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Thunder | 55c | 9,404$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.98 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Thunder | 57c | 8,785$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.58 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 53c | 8,770$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 58c | 8,466$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.27 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 53c | 7,257$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 42c | 6,268$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.7 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 39c | 6,214$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Thunder | 51c | 5,100$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Thunder | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Thunder | 65c | 4,768$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.65 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 47c | 4,355$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.95 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 46c | 4,175$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Thunder | 54c | 4,103$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.37 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Lakers | 44c | 3,935$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.3 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 76c | 3,435$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f4d1backed Thunder | 71c | 3,400$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 46c | 2,931$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Thunder | 50c | 2,833$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.62 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Thunder | 52c | 2,540$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.19 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Lakers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,415$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.39 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 45c | 2,203$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 79c | 2,146$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Lakers | 47c | 1,968$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Thunder | 51c | 1,947$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.99 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,913$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Thunder | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 52c | 1,567$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.24 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,339$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.64 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Thunder | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Thunder | 57c | 1,205$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.8 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Lakers | 45c | 1,128$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.82 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Thunder | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.13 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Lakers | 48c | 1,003$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.39 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Lakers | 45c | 899.31$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.69 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1262backed Thunder | 55c | 892.05$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Thunder | 51c | 888.77$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.49 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Thunder | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Thunder | 64c | 864.39$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.27 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Thunder | 55c | 805.44$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Lakers | 61c | 796.66$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.39 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Thunder | 55c | 741.23$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.55 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 46c | 709.09$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thunder | 51c | 698.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 45c | 673$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 46c | 645.81$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Thunder | 52c | 631.28$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…9489backed Thunder | 68c | 622.25$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Thunder | 55c | 619.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Lakers | 46c | 608.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Lakers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Lakers | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 70c | 577.35$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 70c | 572.75$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Lakers | 46c | 525.91$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 44c | 525.83$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 63c | 525.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Thunder | 77c | 520.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 55c | 489.34$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 45c | 468.89$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Lakers | 46c | 463.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Thunder | 53c | 449.47$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Thunder | 51c | 431.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 46c | 424.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Thunder | 53c | 409.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.52 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 48c | 401.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 48c | 396.29$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Lakers | 46c | 387.53$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers | 47c | 378.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Thunder | 51c | 365.86$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Thunder | 51c | 355.65$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Thunder | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Thunder | 51c | 348.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Lakers | 45c | 339.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Thunder | 66c | 318$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 66c | 315.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Thunder | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Thunder | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 54c | 282.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Lakers | 46c | 281.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.