TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c45,834$22,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,917.0266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over50c44,864$22,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,432.1687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c13,854$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c11,157$5,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,466.9537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over54c10,892$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,890.054332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under69c6,957$4,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.7119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over29c5,749$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c5,663$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.563,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c4,104$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.9710553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over39c2,623$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.531,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,575$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over51c2,174$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.9429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9925641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under67c1,795$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.021,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c1,528$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.1812646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Over72c1,424$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.098549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c1,418$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.841,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c1,331$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.91,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c966.07$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.81,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over22c953.2$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c898.78$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.4968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over52c871.32$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0812257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Over52c828.68$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.911323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c747.04$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under29c729.19$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c671.16$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over32c611.67$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c454.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.282,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c421.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.968839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c404.06$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.982,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Over78c379.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.042060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over52c366.46$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5622349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under77c332.46$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.412,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15049249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15328348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under31c253.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over50c244.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4817250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over12c221.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7536154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c213.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.482,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c204.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.221,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c204.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c204.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under51c204.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.227153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c204.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.221,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c204.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10219435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over50c196.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over59c195.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.11,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2511759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Over49c159.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.363948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Over51c151.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.226756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe117…b02ebacked Over52c149.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c135.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2c…fd1ebacked Over74c133.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.42128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-88.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over21c129.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbf89…8ac3backed Over74c107.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.731850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Over25c103.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.982626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed Over25c103.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over22c102.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…0327backed Over20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5353453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.639844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Over49c92.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.476848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Over32c83.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.843151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7821952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…dae9backed Over54c77.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.014746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c76.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over23c72.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6724044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over49c69.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c65.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under51c65.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over21c64.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d0…d9b0backed Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under32c57.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb29…0b62backed Under50c57.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.794158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under51c56.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under51c56.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under51c56.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6216653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.898657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under77c53.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4150351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over72c41.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f31…44edbacked Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under50c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3967949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over51c37.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3115855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under46c37.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1118235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c35.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.