NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ee707dbcde85973a392ed1cc121c9f65b53b67203757353666d72b52c8a563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 67c | 6,071$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.34 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Lakers | 33c | 5,467$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.22 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Thunder | 63c | 2,322$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.31 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Lakers | 30c | 1,881$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.15 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 23c | 1,794$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Thunder | 69c | 1,547$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Lakers | 38c | 1,539$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.51 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 61c | 1,312$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.02 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Thunder | 67c | 1,170$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.23 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Lakers | 33c | 1,003$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.13 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 46c | 996.15$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.23 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 69c | 993.54$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lakers | 39c | 983.53$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.72 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Thunder | 63c | 899.95$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.98 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Thunder | 66c | 888$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Thunder | 63c | 809.14$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.77 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Lakers | 38c | 777.33$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.02 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Lakers | 36c | 672.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.23 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Lakers | 33c | 633.47$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 68c | 625.28$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 32c | 593.43$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Lakers | 33c | 552.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 34c | 516.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Thunder | 68c | 498.59$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Thunder | 64c | 412.42$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 33c | 404.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 67c | 404.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked Thunder | 68c | 369.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 34c | 365.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 32c | 362.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Thunder | 70c | 352.09$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 32c | 317.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Lakers | 38c | 309.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c700backed Thunder | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 29c | 302$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Thunder | 67c | 299.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Thunder | 67c | 299.9$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…4154backed Thunder | 79c | 299.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1b84backed Thunder | 64c | 293.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Lakers | 37c | 282.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…da42backed Thunder | 74c | 266.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Lakers | 36c | 263.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…aaacbacked Thunder | 67c | 250.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Lakers | 12c | 247.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 38c | 234.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lakers | 33c | 232.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Thunder | 68c | 221$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Thunder | 74c | 213$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Thunder | 62c | 163.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…fc7fbacked Thunder | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Thunder | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…43e0backed Lakers | 33c | 157.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Lakers | 32c | 154.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Lakers | 14c | 147.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Thunder | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 32c | 138.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Lakers | 38c | 137.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lakers | 30c | 137$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lakers | 33c | 135.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 47c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 62c | 123.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 29c | 116.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Lakers | 36c | 106.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lakers | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 30c | 98.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Lakers | 31c | 97.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lakers | 27c | 97.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Thunder | 64c | 97.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Lakers | 34c | 95.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Lakers | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Lakers | 37c | 91.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lakers | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Thunder | 64c | 84.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Lakers | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Thunder | 68c | 79.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lakers | 33c | 75.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Thunder | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Thunder | 68c | 71.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Lakers | 34c | 67.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lakers | 34c | 65.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…07e7backed Lakers | 32c | 60.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Lakers | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Thunder | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Thunder | 61c | 52.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25ce…a3f0backed Thunder | 64c | 52.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887b…bf0fbacked Lakers | 35c | 51.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Lakers | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Thunder | 68c | 50.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…1253backed Thunder | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lakers | 40c | 47.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Lakers | 37c | 46.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +70%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Lakers | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Lakers | 33c | 44.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Lakers | 37c | 41.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…435cbacked Lakers | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Lakers | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.