NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40bf00ae0be8a684552a1c5f199b85f2458558934af5908d060e570357dd9944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 9,924$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 9,732$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 5,587$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.27 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 45c | 4,231$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.95 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 47c | 2,352$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.59 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 2,132$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Over | 47c | 1,446$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Over | 50c | 1,216$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.75 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,085$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 10c | 1,070$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 47c | 1,067$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.37 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 55c | 822.08$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.94 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 677.26$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 583.6$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 539.42$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.31 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 532.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 510.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 55c | 397.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 363.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 45c | 350.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 45c | 340.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 298.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Over | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…ac46backed Over | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 10c | 234.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 56c | 226.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 56c | 226.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 223.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 17c | 222.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 56c | 215.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 56c | 194.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0327backed Over | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 174.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 158.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 148.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 28c | 148.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 72c | 145.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 58c | 138.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 133.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 120.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 10c | 118.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 118.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 47c | 112.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 53c | 111.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 102.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 53c | 102.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 45c | 102.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 93.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 56c | 87.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 55c | 79.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 74.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 55c | 74.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 70.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Over | 50c | 68.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 64.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 54c | 63.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 62.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 61.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 53c | 61.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Under | 70c | 59.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 55.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 54c | 49.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 34c | 43.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…1e67backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 46c | 37.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 68c | 32.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 56c | 31.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Over | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 47c | 29.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 53c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 44c | 27.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…a913backed Under | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…3931backed Over | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 64c | 24.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 64c | 24.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under | 54c | 23.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 53c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 44c | 23.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…85cbbacked Over | 48c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Over | 47c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed Over | 49c | 21.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 56c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.