TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c9,924$4,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.081,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c9,732$5,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,535.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c5,587$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.2737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over45c4,231$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.9516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over47c2,352$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.5912257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c2,132$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Over47c1,446$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Over50c1,216$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.756150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,085$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over10c1,070$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.961,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Over47c1,067$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.376237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over47c1,055$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6422349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4708652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under55c822.08$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9410252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under56c677.26$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c583.6$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.291,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under54c539.42$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over44c532.79$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c510.25$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.832,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under55c397.95$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over45c363.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over45c350.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.786046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over45c340.05$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c298.26$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Over10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed Over10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over10c234.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under56c226.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under56c226.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4514156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over44c223.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.321,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over17c222.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.863745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under56c215.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under56c194.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…0327backed Over10c189.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over43c174.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under54c158.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.291,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c148.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under28c148.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7317553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over72c145.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.832,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over58c138.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under50c135.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.915154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c133.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c120.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over10c118.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7711949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under50c118.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over47c112.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.444238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under53c111.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3415252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c102.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under53c102.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over45c102.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9516242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4753339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4433949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.518054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c93.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under56c87.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3727646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under55c79.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c74.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.261,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over55c74.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c70.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over50c68.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.946254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c64.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under54c63.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9915651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c62.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over53c61.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c61.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Under70c59.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.073151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over47c55.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under54c49.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9416951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under34c43.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6311128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacfb…1e67backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4114253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over46c37.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over68c32.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2916369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c31.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over63c30.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5627854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c29.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under53c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.176341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4521649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over44c27.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9123840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Under54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.433650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615e…3931backed Over45c24.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over64c24.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over64c24.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4122047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under54c23.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.973138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over44c23.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under53c23.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8653349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Over44c23.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…85cbbacked Over48c22.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Over47c22.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3626354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…3cb7backed Over49c21.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under56c21.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.497652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.