NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fd02cafd041991d91a4f01c55bd238aca19f40e74c432d07b39b2f839a01a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,249.99 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 63c | 12,707$8,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.65 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 63c | 9,230$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 67c | 8,728$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.87 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 29c | 5,309$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Thunder | 63c | 4,656$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.79 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Thunder | 73c | 4,386$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.09 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 45c | 4,088$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 56c | 3,702$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.3 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 37c | 3,564$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.89 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 56c | 3,564$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers | 36c | 3,277$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.71 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 48c | 2,812$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.18 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 27c | 2,607$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lakers | 40c | 2,362$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.8 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 55c | 2,305$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.69 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 65c | 2,050$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Thunder | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Lakers | 41c | 1,914$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.67 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Thunder | 59c | 1,647$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.74 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,614$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.59 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Lakers | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 33c | 1,324$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 37c | 1,300$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 60c | 1,196$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.36 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 56c | 1,016$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Lakers | 29c | 936.34$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 33c | 652.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Lakers | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 67c | 538.43$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 48c | 531.04$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 57c | 523.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1251…9ccfbacked Thunder | 64c | 511.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +118%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lakers | 37c | 440.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 67c | 435.89$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lakers | 40c | 404.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 43c | 399$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 38c | 383.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers | 43c | 349.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Thunder | 51c | 345.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Lakers | 8c | 343.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Lakers | 42c | 320.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Lakers | 44c | 314.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 65c | 313.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Thunder | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…e3b2backed Lakers | 4c | 293.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Lakers | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Lakers | 38c | 254.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Thunder | 67c | 246.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 36c | 243.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 38c | 243.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Lakers | 41c | 242.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lakers | 40c | 241.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Lakers | 38c | 216.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Thunder | 55c | 214.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lakers | 41c | 206.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Lakers | 41c | 200.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Lakers | 46c | 197.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Lakers | 17c | 195$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked Thunder | 55c | 176.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Lakers | 42c | 174.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 35c | 162.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Thunder | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Thunder | 62c | 157.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Thunder | 61c | 155.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Thunder | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Lakers | 15c | 141.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Lakers | 42c | 141.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Lakers | 41c | 137.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lakers | 26c | 133.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Thunder | 61c | 123.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Lakers | 41c | 120.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 36c | 120.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Lakers | 41c | 118.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 43c | 117.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Thunder | 61c | 117.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…7ef7backed Lakers | 46c | 116.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lakers | 42c | 104.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Thunder | 71c | 100.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lakers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…4154backed Thunder | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lakers | 41c | 99.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Thunder | 70c | 98.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Lakers | 36c | 98.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Thunder | 63c | 98.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Thunder | 68c | 98.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lakers | 44c | 96.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Lakers | 45c | 95.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lakers | 43c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Lakers | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Lakers | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Lakers | 42c | 90.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…43e0backed Lakers | 37c | 88.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Lakers | 38c | 87.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 40c | 86.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Thunder | 59c | 85.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 64c | 81.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Thunder | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.