TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under47c23,543$11,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,477.9366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over53c19,999$10,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,507.031,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over53c11,662$6,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,180.6524650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under48c3,513$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.7587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over53c2,721$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.1542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under47c2,080$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.3728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over51c1,810$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.8820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,747$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.221,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,381$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c1,284$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.141,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c954.49$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c878.24$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c878.24$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c878.24$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c878.24$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.681,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under48c878.24$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under49c799$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4912257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c733.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c607.5$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Over54c495.92$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.87656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over59c495.25$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.945160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5332450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under48c469.74$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.277145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under49c383.41$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5422349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c368.77$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.492,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over53c368.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.338540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.141,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c310.54$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c291.56$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over54c288.78$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c271.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.741,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c261$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.332,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over53c204.02$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9838242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over54c198.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0525155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c197.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0270%0 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over53c183.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over52c182.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c173.17$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0526450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over53c162.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under48c161.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7818648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Under47c160.72$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.186756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over51c154.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.054045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Over66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c137.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.041,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Under49c119.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.236648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c112.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over53c105.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.19646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.520655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Over54c91.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.597153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.593941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Over49c87.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.453151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c80.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c78.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+115.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under48c70.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5353453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c64.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c60.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.157350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ba…dcfdbacked Over53c54.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.083871.1%27 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under46c51.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.156848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Over53c51.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2110844.4%48 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under47c46.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.716741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under50c44.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4333159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over54c44.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.622454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…9669backed Over53c43.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5d…1f6abacked Under72c40.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Under48c40.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.999454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.444858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.443863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.459454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under48c35.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2610457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under48c33.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.497751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Over53c29.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5621646.3%100 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over53c28.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4238751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under48c28.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8723650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under48c26.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9453349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c25.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Under48c24.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5918453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf563…4fccbacked Over66c22.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6615053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Over53c21.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.387852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed Over54c19.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dd…6bf2backed Over53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38132.1%26 W · 55 L-10.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Over53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.187950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.