NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9471497c5de7a27519563ecbd02dc3ea13ddae776f5db2dea8f9d8e9abd46591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 23,543$11,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,477.93 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 53c | 19,999$10,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,507.03 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 53c | 11,662$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.65 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 3,513$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.75 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 53c | 2,721$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.15 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 47c | 2,080$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.37 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 51c | 1,810$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.88 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,747$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,381$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 1,284$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 954.49$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 878.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 878.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 878.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 878.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 48c | 878.24$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 49c | 799$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 607.5$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Over | 54c | 495.92$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Over | 59c | 495.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.94 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 48c | 469.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 49c | 383.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 368.77$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 53c | 368.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 53c | 310.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 50c | 291.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 54c | 288.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 33c | 271.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 261$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 53c | 204.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 54c | 198.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 197.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 53c | 183.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 52c | 182.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 48c | 173.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 53c | 162.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 48c | 161.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Under | 47c | 160.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 51c | 154.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…6ba0backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 137.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 49c | 119.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 112.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 53c | 105.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Over | 54c | 91.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Over | 49c | 87.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 80.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 78.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 48c | 70.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 64.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 60.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…dcfdbacked Over | 53c | 54.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Under | 46c | 51.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Over | 53c | 51.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 47c | 46.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 50c | 44.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 54c | 44.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…9669backed Over | 53c | 43.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…1f6abacked Under | 72c | 40.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Under | 48c | 40.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 48c | 35.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 48c | 33.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Over | 53c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 216 | 46.3%100 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 48c | 28.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 48c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 25.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Under | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…4fccbacked Over | 66c | 22.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Over | 53c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…5482backed Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -10.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…75bbbacked Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.