NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03356ab7e886841ed3edc05e30051549354822f5f21d712fd7757c227d9314a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 104,200$22,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,958.84 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 23,983$11,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,063.05 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Under | 47c | 19,000$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 50c | 14,506$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 9,571$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.38 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 8,893$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 7,229$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.98 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 6,872$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 5,520$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.6 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 47c | 4,901$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.31 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 35c | 4,805$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.25 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 53c | 4,598$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…c63cbacked Under | 47c | 4,597$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 49c | 3,499$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 3,440$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 3,086$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Under | 47c | 3,017$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 47c | 2,362$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.08 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 52c | 2,054$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.32 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 55c | 1,778$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.89 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 1,716$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.31 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,710$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.26 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 54c | 1,647$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.91 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Over | 47c | 1,617$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.94 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…6e32backed Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,557$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 46c | 1,496$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 1,379$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.75 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 1,379$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.75 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 48c | 1,379$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.75 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 46c | 1,319$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.34 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 1,217$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.07 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…4cd4backed Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Under | 47c | 1,099$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.1 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,073$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 48c | 1,009$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.75 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…fa18backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…67a2backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Under | 46c | 900$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 888.68$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 839.33$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.52 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 763.37$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 760.41$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 46c | 751.07$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.53 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 731.08$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 713.86$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 46c | 705$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 681.79$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.71 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 51c | 667.38$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.98 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 47c | 548$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 49c | 542.47$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.66 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked Under | 49c | 529.14$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 25c | 503.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 51c | 503$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Under | 32c | 500$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…453cbacked Under | 49c | 497.85$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 492.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 473.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.81 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 472.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 456.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 49c | 441$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.67 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 412.74$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 408.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 48c | 406.8$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 52c | 405.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0327backed Over | 10c | 403.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 49c | 388.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.76 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 382.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 51c | 362.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 333$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Over | 49c | 330.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 29c | 328.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 46c | 322$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 320.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 49c | 300.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Over | 47c | 296.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 41c | 294.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…4b20backed Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 49c | 284$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.