TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over22c104,200$22,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,958.8484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c23,983$11,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,063.0537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under47c19,000$8,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0708350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x264a…85ecbacked Over50c14,506$7,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,252.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c9,571$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.3814556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c8,893$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c7,229$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.9847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c6,872$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over48c5,520$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over47c4,901$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.3116346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c4,805$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Under53c4,598$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.114744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb212…c63cbacked Under47c4,597$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Over49c3,499$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.467945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c3,440$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.422,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c3,086$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Under47c3,017$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.891546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under47c2,362$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.0814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over52c2,054$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.3270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over55c1,778$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.891,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c1,716$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.311,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,710$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.261,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under54c1,647$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.9130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Over47c1,617$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.944763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2731…6e32backed Under47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,557$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Over46c1,496$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.121376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over48c1,379$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over48c1,379$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.7563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over48c1,379$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.7529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under46c1,319$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.345635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c1,217$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.0781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419e…4cd4backed Under47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Under47c1,099$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.113258.3%77 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,073$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under47c1,060$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.412548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over48c1,009$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.7571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…fa18backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9512…67a2backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Under46c900$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c888.68$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.371,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c839.33$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.521,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c763.37$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over47c760.41$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.391,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c751.07$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c731.08$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c713.86$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under46c705$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under46c699.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37827746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over51c681.79$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under51c667.38$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.989657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under47c548$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under49c542.47$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6610252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked Under49c529.14$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over25c503.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6818235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over51c503$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2428949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2357339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23517748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2357839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Under32c500$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391866.7%12 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+143.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x624f…453cbacked Under49c497.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c492.34$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c473.07$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c472.65$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c456.44$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.141,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under49c441$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6712637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c412.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.361,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over47c408.33$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6917047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over48c406.8$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.713348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under52c405.29$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5415543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…0327backed Over10c403.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under49c388.87$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7622047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c382.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under51c362.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over47c333$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Over49c330.24$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.411931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over29c328.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.141,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c326.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.081,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under46c322$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c320.61$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over49c300.33$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.162240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Over47c296.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.466339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under41c294.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.544252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662e…4b20backed Over49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under49c284$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4813837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.