NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0ceca2ef2112027c6c4f1759886409a7dfd1f3cb5136f11338751f70dcee47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 64c | 24,572$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,920.52 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 41c | 15,959$6,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,616.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 35c | 11,250$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.55 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Thunder | 56c | 10,095$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 40c | 9,738$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 58c | 9,006$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.68 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 40c | 5,978$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.17 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 47c | 3,259$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.88 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 40c | 2,957$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.81 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Lakers | 39c | 2,744$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.76 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 60c | 2,132$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Lakers | 47c | 1,552$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.63 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Thunder | 62c | 1,393$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.64 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,356$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…4cd4backed Lakers | 45c | 1,268$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 41c | 1,141$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.48 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 42c | 1,076$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.7 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Lakers | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 42c | 992.51$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 47c | 958.7$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.75 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 43c | 880.96$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 55c | 875.7$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.06 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Thunder | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers | 36c | 644.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.06 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lakers | 42c | 638.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.22 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 59c | 602.32$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.72 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 58c | 600.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 58c | 600.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Thunder | 58c | 597.66$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 59c | 593.71$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 50c | 529.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 58c | 518.83$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Lakers | 43c | 460.39$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Thunder | 57c | 443.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 58c | 425.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 37c | 405.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 42c | 404$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Thunder | 61c | 400.25$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Lakers | 45c | 395.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…1389backed Thunder | 56c | 393.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 60c | 392.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 43c | 390.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 39c | 379.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 40c | 372.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Thunder | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 40c | 347.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Thunder | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers | 39c | 328.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Lakers | 42c | 326.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Thunder | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Lakers | 41c | 318.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Lakers | 43c | 315.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Lakers | 25c | 302.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Thunder | 61c | 272.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Lakers | 42c | 269.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Thunder | 55c | 266.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 42c | 256.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 42c | 250.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 55c | 246.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 58c | 241.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Lakers | 48c | 227.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 47c | 219.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Thunder | 58c | 215.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Thunder | 61c | 200.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Thunder | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Thunder | 54c | 197.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Thunder | 58c | 192.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…7ef7backed Lakers | 46c | 178.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Thunder | 56c | 176.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Thunder | 56c | 175.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Thunder | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Thunder | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Lakers | 40c | 149.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Lakers | 42c | 146.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lakers | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lakers | 43c | 139.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 42c | 129.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Thunder | 52c | 128.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Lakers | 43c | 111.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 43c | 104.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Lakers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Lakers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Lakers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lakers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…20aebacked Lakers | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Thunder | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Lakers | 42c | 94.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…5d38backed Thunder | 59c | 90.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Lakers | 44c | 90.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Lakers | 43c | 89.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Lakers | 48c | 89.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 35c | 89.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Thunder | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Thunder | 59c | 83.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Lakers | 42c | 81.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.