NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd044dc2fd556d2f781a0e4dc2d0111891374d8993ff0687653928994f339a671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers | 49c | 99,584$48,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,796.34 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 51c | 37,668$19,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,622.47 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Lakers | 50c | 29,638$14,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,784.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 51c | 18,340$9,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,044.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 50c | 16,629$8,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Thunder | 51c | 16,356$8,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.23 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 50c | 15,451$7,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,802.03 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 50c | 12,575$6,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder | 51c | 9,560$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.6 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 50c | 8,335$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 50c | 6,572$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.79 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 48c | 5,110$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.52 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Lakers | 48c | 4,252$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.01 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 49c | 4,161$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.31 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lakers | 50c | 3,924$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.42 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,784$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 51c | 2,921$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 51c | 2,445$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.02 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 48c | 2,436$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Thunder | 51c | 2,173$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.9 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 60c | 2,169$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.44 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…c63cbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,123$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Thunder | 51c | 2,084$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.1 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Thunder | 50c | 1,954$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Thunder | 52c | 1,687$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.9 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 48c | 1,569$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,446$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 49c | 1,390$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Thunder | 51c | 1,260$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.41 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Thunder | 51c | 1,068$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.19 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Thunder | 51c | 1,043$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.03 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Thunder | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Thunder | 52c | 955.92$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.84 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Thunder | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Thunder | 51c | 901.06$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Thunder | 51c | 879.25$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Thunder | 51c | 847.17$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Thunder | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 791.75$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 51c | 786.19$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Thunder | 50c | 677.06$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.53 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 35c | 607.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 50c | 607.22$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 49c | 599.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Lakers | 50c | 587.18$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Thunder | 51c | 574.63$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Thunder | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Thunder | 52c | 499.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Thunder | 51c | 480.34$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Thunder | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 52c | 465.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Thunder | 53c | 459.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 49c | 428.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734a…4933backed Thunder | 51c | 391.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Lakers | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 50c | 372.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Lakers | 14c | 345.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Thunder | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Lakers | 52c | 299.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Thunder | 60c | 299.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Thunder | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Lakers | 49c | 284.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Lakers | 49c | 276.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…d116backed Lakers | 52c | 262.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Thunder | 52c | 239.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Thunder | 50c | 221.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 49c | 220.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Thunder | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 78c | 202.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…f37dbacked Thunder | 48c | 202.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Lakers | 52c | 201.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Thunder | 51c | 200.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Lakers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Thunder | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Thunder | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Thunder | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Thunder | 51c | 192.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Thunder | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Lakers | 51c | 184.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Thunder | 51c | 174.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 51c | 172.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Thunder | 51c | 169.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Thunder | 51c | 166.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Lakers | 51c | 159.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Thunder | 51c | 155.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 54c | 153.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 50c | 152.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Lakers | 50c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…3b08backed Thunder | 51c | 148.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Thunder | 49c | 147.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 51c | 146.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.