TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5f0…d345

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.78
Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$34.15
Will Hanwha Life Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.19
Will T1 qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$214.74
Will SoftBank HAWKS gaming qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$118.21
Will MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.2
Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.2
Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.61
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.15
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$56.7
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.49
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+115.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,991.1%+$15,182.59
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.41
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.58
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.65
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.39
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$71.74
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.25
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.43
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.31
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.64
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.39
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.64
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.7
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$42.74
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.53
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick29cpaid-18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.29
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.44
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the SEC (Southeastern Conference)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$53.9
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.03
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$40.25
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$77.27
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.61
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.34
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.44
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.22
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will FaZe win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$120.97
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.03
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.86
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.