NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ed054081cbbd8a18510ee9d173c864e9b91f559ef5d9e4218061bd8d3ef52d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Wizards
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $866,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $860,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $866,391 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards	53c	481,125$253,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253,496.35	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Heat	47c	452,462$213,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238,488.64	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	51c	185,249$94,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,102.55	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Heat	50c	105,453$52,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,809.51	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wizards	52c	62,316$32,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,404.17	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Heat	48c	61,171$29,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,072.44	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat	49c	49,255$24,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,137.07	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat	48c	42,587$20,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,145.15	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Wizards	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Heat	48c	25,021$12,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,949.92	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	51c	20,769$10,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,655.8	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	48c	11,736$5,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,044.51	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards	50c	10,250$5,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,125.06	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards	53c	9,857$5,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,224.2	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Heat	50c	8,280$4,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,154.78	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Heat	47c	7,303$3,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,834.84	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Heat	48c	7,242$3,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,769.03	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards	53c	6,309$3,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,336.94	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Heat	48c	6,078$2,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,162.43	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Heat	49c	5,942$2,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050.83	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.98	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat	48c	2,954$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,536.01	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Heat	48c	2,733$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.25	135	63%85 W · 50 L	+15.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards	52c	2,616$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.68	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Heat	48c	2,250$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.36	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.99	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Heat	48c	1,804$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.27	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	48c	1,525$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Heat	49c	989.18$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.48	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Heat	48c	968.8$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.78	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Heat	48c	941.24$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.75	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	61c	891.8$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.5	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	50c	795.37$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.99	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Heat	48c	771.99$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.43	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards	51c	625.15$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.81	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Heat	48c	605.5$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.86	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Heat	48c	570.75$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.19	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Wizards	53c	550.08$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.54	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Wizards	51c	534.01$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.11	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards	52c	506.5$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.25	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heat	48c	504.08$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.88	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards	49c	500$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.68	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards	51c	499.89$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.95	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	60c	459.24$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.14	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Heat	48c	427.09$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.73	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Heat	48c	423.22$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.08	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Heat	48c	423.22$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.08	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Heat	48c	409.99$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.2	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Heat	48c	403.67$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.91	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Heat	50c	388$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Heat	48c	355.33$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.8	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Wizards	54c	352.01$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.08	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Wizards	4c	327.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	188	35.1%66 W · 122 L	+24.5wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Heat	48c	302.75$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.43	199	50.8%101 W · 98 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Heat	48c	288.34$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.36	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Wizards	54c	282.83$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.46	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Heat	48c	280.49$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.85	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Wizards	54c	276.27$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.19	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	49c	240.29$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.34	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Wizards	53c	239.26$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.07	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Heat	48c	217.84$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.33	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Heat	48c	216.69$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.78	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Heat	48c	214.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.97	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Heat	48c	203.44$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.95	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Heat	48c	201.85$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.97	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Wizards	53c	200.87$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.1	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Heat	47c	200.85$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.95	196	59.7%117 W · 79 L	+17.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Heat	48c	200.43$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Heat	49c	199.98$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.99	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Heat	48c	195.72$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.77	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Heat	50c	194$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Heat	48c	193.76$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.76	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Wizards	53c	186.59$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.89	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Wizards	50c	183.5$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.56	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Wizards	54c	180.07$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	236	50.8%120 W · 116 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Heat	48c	171.56$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.21	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Wizards	52c	170.85$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.84	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-9.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Wizards	52c	159.52$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.15	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Wizards	54c	158.64$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.67	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Heat	48c	150.69$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.38	306	54.6%167 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Wizards	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Wizards	53c	149.6$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.62	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Heat	48c	149.25$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.73	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Heat	50c	145.83$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.15	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Heat	64c	143.75$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.32	369	49.6%183 W · 186 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Heat	48c	141.28$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.47	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Heat	47c	133.81$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.58	388	53.4%207 W · 181 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Heat	47c	131.16$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.04	229	53.3%122 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Heat	48c	126.17$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.61	221	48%106 W · 115 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Heat	47c	120.1$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.65	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Heat	47c	117.63$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.34	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Heat	47c	117.63$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.34	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Heat	48c	116.7$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.68	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Heat	48c	110.15$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.28	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Wizards	52c	104.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Heat	48c	101.02$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.14	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Heat	48c	100.92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.48	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wizards	49c	100.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Wizards	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Heat	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	228	50.9%116 W · 112 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event