NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548d9b53b814c282fb7b35d232ef4cd85dfd96db7913dfb12d970fc08a42ea46

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Wizards
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $893,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $967,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Wizards	9c	116,770$10,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,509.28	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	7c	30,330$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.47	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards	2c	27,285$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.36	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	7c	26,561$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.63	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	1c	15,036$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.64	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards	8c	14,644$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.54	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wizards	7c	14,036$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.5	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Wizards	1c	12,215$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.58	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Wizards	7c	11,836$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.43	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards	7c	10,791$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.36	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Wizards	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Wizards	7c	10,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wizards	1c	9,820$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	123	4.9%6 W · 117 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Wizards	5c	9,778$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.56	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	2c	9,519$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.61	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	7c	9,505$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.27	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	7c	9,186$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	7c	9,081$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.64	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Wizards	7c	7,683$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.79	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	6c	6,790$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.69	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	6,047$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab6…4ee5backed Wizards	6c	6,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	4c	5,741$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.04	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Wizards	6c	5,739$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.93	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Wizards	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	-7.9wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Wizards	7c	4,853$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.69	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	7c	4,808$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.58	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Wizards	8c	4,746$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.21	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Wizards	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	208	47.6%99 W · 109 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Wizards	1c	3,994$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.59	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Wizards	7c	3,555$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.69	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	6c	3,400$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.16	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Wizards	8c	3,187$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.46	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	7c	3,167$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.01	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wizards	7c	3,000$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…4cf8backed Wizards	8c	2,913$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.03	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Wizards	7c	2,833$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.28	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	7c	2,730$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.53	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards	8c	2,540$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.73	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	7c	2,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards	1c	2,455$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Wizards	6c	2,372$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.35	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Wizards	8c	2,362$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.96	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab0…68febacked Wizards	7c	2,334$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Wizards	9c	2,250$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Wizards	7c	2,200$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Wizards	9c	2,101$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.08	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Wizards	7c	2,091$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.35	190	47.4%90 W · 100 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards	8c	2,027$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.14	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wizards	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Wizards	7c	1,945$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.58	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards	7c	1,893$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wizards	7c	1,893$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Wizards	7c	1,893$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Wizards	7c	1,893$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Wizards	7c	1,893$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Wizards	6c	1,700$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	398	64.3%256 W · 142 L	+33.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Wizards	7c	1,692$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.89	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Wizards	7c	1,541$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.32	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Wizards	7c	1,512$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.53	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Wizards	8c	1,299$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.12	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Wizards	7c	1,247$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.27	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards	7c	1,200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Wizards	8c	1,181$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.48	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Wizards	10c	1,084$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.29	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+6.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Wizards	7c	1,082$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	7c	1,079$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.54	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Wizards	7c	1,001$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	253	48.6%123 W · 130 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Wizards	7c	1,001$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.09	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Wizards	7c	1,001$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.09	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Wizards	7c	972.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.08	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec5…a01ebacked Wizards	7c	971.58$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Wizards	7c	944.2$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.09	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce6…e378backed Wizards	7c	944.2$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.09	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Wizards	7c	899$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	5c	896.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Wizards	6c	881.13$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.66	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Wizards	7c	849.78$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	152	19.7%30 W · 122 L	-26.5wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Wizards	8c	848.12$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.83	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Wizards	8c	848.12$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.83	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Wizards	7c	817.25$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.52	609	44.8%273 W · 336 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed Wizards	7c	791.54$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.56	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	7c	731.96$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.83	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe769…6d8bbacked Wizards	7c	699.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	37cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Wizards	7c	674.43$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Wizards	7c	674.43$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	274	35.4%97 W · 177 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Wizards	5c	658.77$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17fa…cc95backed Wizards	8c	616.7$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.34	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.28per pick	40cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards	7c	582$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.74	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Wizards	9c	547.22$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.05	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Wizards	9c	525.22$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.27	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards	7c	511$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8f…46a2backed Wizards	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Wizards	8c	497.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Wizards	6c	484.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards	5c	460.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Wizards	8c	455.37$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event