NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac88c943deb06b223d8a98e5774b95ef5c9a4f0f5f99a4c855cf780befc6d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 44c | 9,700$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.94 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 5,715$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 5,694$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 3,042$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.39 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Under | 56c | 3,008$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.35 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 3,004$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.66 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 46c | 2,403$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.89 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 43c | 2,345$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 56c | 1,429$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.71 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Over | 80c | 1,238$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 60c | 1,213$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 49c | 1,100$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 1,093$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 1,082$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.73 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,062$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 56c | 994.88$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.13 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 699.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 579.41$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 51c | 517.88$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 498.73$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 442.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 425.56$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 54c | 410.14$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 56c | 386.47$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 384.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 319.54$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 317.09$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 205.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 62c | 197.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 196.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 42c | 195.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 40c | 187.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 181.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 167.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 22c | 164$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 21c | 159$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 56c | 152.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 42c | 144.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 44c | 133.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 57c | 119.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 54c | 119.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 62c | 118.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 48c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 49c | 96.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 14c | 91.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 55c | 90.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 39c | 86.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +70%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 81.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 61.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Over | 39c | 58.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…8cf8backed Over | 45c | 54.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 43c | 53.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…ad22backed Over | 45c | 52.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Over | 54c | 49.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 29c | 48.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 50c | 48.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 57c | 46.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under | 56c | 42.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 50c | 40.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 40c | 39.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Over | 32c | 38.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 57c | 37.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Over | 45c | 37.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…9ba6backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 33.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 41c | 31.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Over | 41c | 26.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Over | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…3622backed Under | 55c | 22.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 50c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…25ccbacked Under | 55c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…bb8bbacked Under | 55c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 63c | 19.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Under | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 56c | 17.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5this page
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.