TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6204…0b06backed Over44c9,700$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.944134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c5,715$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.431,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c5,694$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c3,042$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under56c3,008$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.35427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over43c3,004$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.6679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over46c2,403$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.8927735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under43c2,345$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under56c1,429$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.7112646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Over80c1,238$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under60c1,213$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over49c1,100$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5596737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under56c1,093$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.651,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c1,082$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,062$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under56c994.88$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c699.98$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under45c579.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Under51c517.88$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c498.73$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c442.6$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c425.56$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.31,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c410.14$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.641,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under56c386.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4210252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c384.89$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c319.54$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c317.09$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c205.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under62c197.02$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1526755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c196.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.272,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Over42c195.34$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.38545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over40c187.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c181.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.911,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under57c167.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under22c164$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under21c159$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under56c152.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Over42c144.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.976845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over44c133.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under57c119.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.199854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under54c119.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Under62c118.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2915055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Over44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.58156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c101$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under49c96.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under14c91.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under55c90.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6844347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6825348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Over39c86.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+70%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c81.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c61.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.225,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd946…0d96backed Over39c58.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc670…8cf8backed Over45c54.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.784440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Over43c53.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6813140.5%53 W · 78 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under25c53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5674…ad22backed Over45c52.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over42c49.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9955444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Over54c49.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8211850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under29c48.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1411826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over50c48.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.246261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under57c46.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.319258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x375a…dbd4backed Over45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.641566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under56c42.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.626648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over50c40.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2710256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over40c39.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7138736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Over32c38.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.813860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under57c37.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5731953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over45c37.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.449445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4537853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ae…9ba6backed Over51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c33.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over41c31.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over51c29.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.262,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over41c26.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5611143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over52c23.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1971752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over50c23.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6418548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Over49c22.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf478…3622backed Under55c22.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over50c22.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1620558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over46c22.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b3…25ccbacked Under55c21.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…bb8bbacked Under55c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over63c19.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0314359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under56c18.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.435655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under56c17.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0223048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.