NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bde08431a9462ce725e5000e9c1546b7c7ce6d6f4b3c03c520ab9829c59e493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 49c | 99,120$48,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,569.03 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 89,851$45,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,026.88 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 26,483$12,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,759.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 25,555$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.6 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,717$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 7,611$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.51 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 7,186$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.05 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 7,108$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 6,435$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.2 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 3,287$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.08 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 48c | 3,010$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.1 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 49c | 2,052$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.73 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,040$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.97 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,797$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.36 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 1,783$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 1,035$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 1,032$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.88 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 23c | 970.85$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 853.59$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.72 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 50c | 847$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.09 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 691.36$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 49c | 568.63$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 499.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.82 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 51c | 487.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 470.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 404.84$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Under | 52c | 397.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 52c | 315$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 305.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 258.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 73c | 224.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 80c | 222.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 208.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 199.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 53c | 196.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…52c0backed Over | 46c | 194.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Under | 53c | 185.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 183.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 179.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 160.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 53c | 144.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 140.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 75c | 139.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 137.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…ce34backed Over | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 76c | 103.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 65c | 103.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Under | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 51c | 94.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…d5b0backed Over | 51c | 94.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 56c | 92.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 90.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 86.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Over | 52c | 83.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over | 51c | 79.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 78.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 52c | 74.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…53bfbacked Under | 53c | 70.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 65.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…7754backed Under | 53c | 62.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 56c | 61.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 57.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Over | 51c | 53.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 48c | 53.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 52.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 49c | 50.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…5586backed Under | 53c | 46.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 43c | 45.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…f684backed Over | 51c | 43.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 56c | 43.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 43.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 51c | 37.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…2a68backed Over | 51c | 37.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 41c | 37.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…1001backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…1b06backed Under | 50c | 35.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5this page
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.