NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25239a29ef1c48f7903b5d6cea50636eb7ee3116e37eb85e8472256cf5a61ea

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $120,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over	46c	96,758$44,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,422.84	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	54c	23,010$12,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,408.48	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under	54c	19,988$10,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,893.21	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	54c	8,241$4,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,458.28	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	54c	7,888$4,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,259.63	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over	46c	7,000$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,779.93	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under	54c	6,432$3,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,473.1	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	54c	5,489$2,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,964.46	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	54c	3,944$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.79	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	54c	3,907$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,109.8	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	54c	2,535$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.75	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	54c	2,522$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.02	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over	45c	2,000$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.98	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under	54c	1,945$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.19	377	55.2%208 W · 169 L	+23.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	54c	1,830$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.23	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	53c	1,437$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.37	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	54c	1,184$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.58	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	54c	1,080$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.44	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	72c	1,077$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.66	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	54c	1,042$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.92	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	53c	995.38$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.7	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	45c	993.99$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.44	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under	54c	918.82$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.16	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	54c	907.02$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.13	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under	54c	900.37$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.2	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	840.75$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.19	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under	55c	707.64$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.2	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under	53c	695.85$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.8	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	55c	654.56$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.01	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under	56c	632.84$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.39	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over	48c	600.96$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.5	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	54c	594.24$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.89	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Under	54c	583.44$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.06	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	54c	570.04$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.13	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	54c	539.68$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.43	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under	55c	530.73$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.9	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	504.56$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under	54c	499$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.87	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Over	45c	472.75$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.01	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	47c	420$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.6	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under	54c	388.96$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.04	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under	54c	388.96$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.04	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	55c	340.55$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.3	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Over	47c	309$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.77	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.8wins	+0.30per pick	55cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	48c	297.5$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.8	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under	55c	212.96$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.75	337	48.1%162 W · 175 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over	46c	210.35$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	48c	203.54$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.68	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under	54c	194.48$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.02	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	54c	188.65$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.87	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	54c	185.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.38	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Over	46c	183.84$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.28	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	30c	160.75$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	45c	152.19$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.96	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	53c	141.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.09	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under	55c	129.18$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.67	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	78c	126.87$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.67	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	54c	124.29$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.12	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	54c	109.85$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	54c	109.85$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	54c	109.85$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…ea91backed Over	47c	109.3$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.3	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	54c	105.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.24	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over	47c	91.88$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	121	60.3%73 W · 48 L	+13.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over	45c	91$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.05	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	56c	86.93$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	177	58.2%103 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	53c	78.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.14	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	54c	73.87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.89	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	54c	73.39$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under	53c	68.94$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	54c	52.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.63	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under	54c	52.6$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked Under	55c	50.42$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.73	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under	54c	50.28$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	230	48.7%112 W · 118 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84c…efd5backed Under	54c	47.61$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over	47c	46.47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Under	55c	44.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over	47c	43.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.09	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked Under	56c	43.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	54c	42.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.13	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	53c	42.66$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	53c	41.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-14.2wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Under	55c	39.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b0…50d8backed Over	47c	38.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.53	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under	56c	37.32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over	47c	37.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.62	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb5…7588backed Under	54c	36.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	52c	34.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	54c	34.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under	54c	34.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over	47c	34.51$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.29	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Over	48c	33.83$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under	55c	33.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	49c	33.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event