TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x375a…dbd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of July 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.05
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.17
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 18?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$120.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$86.2
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.39
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$203.77
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of June 1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$14.39
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Spread: Raptors (-20.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.4
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$18.35
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Trump visit China by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.