NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa669ce7f629cc1a916a24e4f6f6daa30502837e05d6abbd9881f9fe4fa933be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 58c | 5,041$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.91 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pacers | 21c | 3,125$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.22 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 30c | 3,053$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 42c | 2,186$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pacers | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.11 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 66c | 1,606$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.06 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 78c | 1,337$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Pistons | 57c | 1,314$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.19 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 42c | 1,197$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 56c | 1,162$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pistons | 60c | 1,140$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.17 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 63c | 931.46$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Pacers | 45c | 813.96$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pacers | 72c | 732.2$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Pistons | 57c | 601.29$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.91 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 78c | 575.86$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.83 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 78c | 532.91$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Pacers | 44c | 530.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pacers | 44c | 483$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 77c | 473.62$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 42c | 462.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Pacers | 49c | 349.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 62c | 327.51$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pacers | 46c | 327.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 42c | 325.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pistons | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…2129backed Pacers | 45c | 280.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…9756backed Pistons | 56c | 270.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 71c | 262.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons | 79c | 257.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 43c | 246.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 77c | 246.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons | 66c | 224.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pistons | 16c | 214.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 51c | 203.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Pacers | 28c | 198.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 42c | 198.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers | 72c | 197.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pistons | 79c | 192.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pacers | 18c | 184.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Pistons | 20c | 182$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Pistons | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pistons | 78c | 154.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Pacers | 19c | 147.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Pistons | 60c | 126.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Pistons | 51c | 122.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pacers | 42c | 120.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Pistons | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Pacers | 44c | 111.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Pistons | 57c | 107.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 21c | 101.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Pacers | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pacers | 42c | 92.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 42c | 91.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Pistons | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Pistons | 56c | 89.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pacers | 27c | 87.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Pacers | 23c | 82.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pistons | 67c | 80.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Pistons | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Pistons | 56c | 74.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 71c | 73.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Pistons | 61c | 70.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Pacers | 43c | 69.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pacers | 42c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Pacers | 21c | 65.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Pacers | 17c | 65.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Pistons | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…6265backed Pacers | 50c | 62.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Pistons | 76c | 51.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Pistons | 76c | 50.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pacers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Pacers | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pacers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Pacers | 43c | 45.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Pacers | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pacers | 49c | 42.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Pacers | 43c | 40.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Pistons | 74c | 39.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pacers | 45c | 36.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pacers | 38c | 35.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Pistons | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Pistons | 66c | 34.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Pistons | 60c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 50c | 32.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pacers | 40c | 32.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pacers | 43c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…2573backed Pistons | 61c | 31.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Pistons | 56c | 31.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pacers | 40c | 29.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked Pistons | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Pacers | 43c | 28.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61db…90cdbacked Pistons | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Pistons | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Pistons | 72c | 24.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Pistons | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pistons | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Pistons | 60c | 23.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pistons | 76c | 20.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Pistons | 80c | 16.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. PacersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 257.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.