NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e35ac51989bd81176694e4db7234c7e9255c65391302218d501e5dbd874353e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pacers | 50c | 68,370$34,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,307.15 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 51c | 38,306$19,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,408.2 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Pistons | 53c | 31,808$16,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,739.67 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 48c | 15,746$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 50c | 15,526$7,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,762.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Pistons | 53c | 10,948$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.95 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 51c | 10,403$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 51c | 9,901$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.64 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 48c | 7,676$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Pacers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 47c | 4,993$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.1 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Pacers | 49c | 4,400$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 51c | 3,899$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 47c | 3,021$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pacers | 48c | 2,497$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.21 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,350$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 50c | 1,979$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.75 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 51c | 1,946$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.69 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 44c | 1,582$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pistons | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Pacers | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Pacers | 49c | 1,269$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.19 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Pacers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Pacers | 49c | 1,170$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.73 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pacers | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Pacers | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…e458backed Pistons | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 51c | 972.9$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8bb9backed Pistons | 56c | 967.01$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Pacers | 49c | 919.24$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.81 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Pacers | 49c | 919.24$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.81 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Pistons | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Pistons | 50c | 791.79$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Pacers | 53c | 755$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pacers | 49c | 749.99$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Pistons | 52c | 749.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Pistons | 47c | 744.42$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Pacers | 44c | 687.02$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.73 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 50c | 659.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pistons | 50c | 659.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Pistons | 50c | 659.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons | 50c | 659.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Pistons | 50c | 659.83$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Pistons | 76c | 649.66$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.75 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pacers | 48c | 628.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.4 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Pacers | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pistons | 51c | 568.63$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.23 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Pacers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 48c | 499.95$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pacers | 52c | 497.52$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Pacers | 20c | 482.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.53 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 58c | 442.58$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6730backed Pistons | 55c | 442.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers | 11c | 437.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pacers | 41c | 423.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pacers | 40c | 399.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pistons | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Pistons | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Pistons | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pacers | 50c | 364.72$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Pistons | 80c | 354.3$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.44 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Pistons | 11c | 351.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Pistons | 53c | 322.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Pacers | 50c | 306.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Pistons | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers | 48c | 249.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 48c | 245.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 47c | 225.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Pistons | 51c | 205.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Pacers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Pistons | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Pistons | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Pacers | 49c | 167.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pacers | 49c | 152.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Pistons | 51c | 151.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pistons | 68c | 147.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Pacers | 49c | 140.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 23c | 126.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Pistons | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Pistons | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Pistons | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pistons | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Pistons | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pacers | 52c | 94.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Pistons | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Pistons | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Pistons | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Pistons | 26c | 88.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…bc77backed Pistons | 52c | 85.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pacers | 49c | 84.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Pacers | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Pistons | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Pistons | 55c | 77.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. PacersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 257.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.