TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c99,050$48,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,299.721,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c49,645$25,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,319.1732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under51c47,914$24,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,395.7920744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Under50c26,647$13,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,440.071942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under48c26,116$12,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,484.7317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over53c20,254$10,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,519.3256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c20,020$10,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,001.9490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c18,266$9,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,132.982,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c17,952$8,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,232.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c10,470$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,235.091,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Over49c8,410$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.047852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0804548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,296$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c4,131$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c2,549$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.011,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c2,333$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.881,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over49c1,980$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c1,846$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.982,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,380$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over49c1,154$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9732351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over48c1,010$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.211239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over52c972.76$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9325155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c953.03$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.5163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c920.93$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.6731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over49c793.79$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.1549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over51c640.49$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5532150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c633.41$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.711,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c441.57$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.071,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.915633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c386.66$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over50c381.21$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6110252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over49c350.92$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c317.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over50c317.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over50c317.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c315.74$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.871,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over50c315.2$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over51c311.64$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.710447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over49c306.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under27c296.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.242,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c225.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9529345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c201.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c179.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under18c175.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3911143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under15c170.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.33935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over50c148.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2129352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under34c140.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1410523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c131.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.741,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c131.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Over50c114.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.887550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c112.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under51c103$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5310955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c102.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3859650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over72c95.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6311653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over53c89.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2323549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.067648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…0888backed Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.86167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under52c72.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3112160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over49c71.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4516450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…2a68backed Over50c57.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.442060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over50c57.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.579454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Under50c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Over50c52.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.285251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under51c50.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.748651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under48c50.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over49c50.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over64c46.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.588347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over72c45.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9319937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Over53c45.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.479634.4%33 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under53c40.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4240546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Over49c39.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7924150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…0885backed Over49c39.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd991…ce34backed Over50c38.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.032657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…d887backed Over50c38.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over50c36.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4315053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb657…55c6backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.242025%5 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe5c9…7044backed Over49c35.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.