TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbddc…0885

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Bisbal: Ashlyn Krueger vs Storm Hunterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$3.99
Huzhou: Jessica Pieri vs Sijia Weibacked Sijia Wei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$9.68
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$16.12
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$17.32
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$13.36
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Keninbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$14.77
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$14.52
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$5.62
Menorca: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Andrew Paulsonbacked Andrew Paulson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$11.12
Barletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$16.33
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Copa Colsanitas: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tatjana Mariabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$4.89
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.44
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarkebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$20.32
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboianbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$16.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$20.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+55%+$5.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.