Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d60dc289124653c276e4563a84910cf6f1873569fdfbb808325f6ccb0b4c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 68c | 2,903$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.26 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 2,277$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 29c | 1,143$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.58 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…5c81backed Over | 38c | 811.05$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 35c | 699.86$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 30c | 639.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 542.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 65c | 526$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 19c | 518.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 518.17$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 25c | 378.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 328.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 74c | 318.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 316.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 78c | 288.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 231.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 24c | 212.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 8c | 212.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 71c | 205.07$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 71c | 205.07$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 71c | 205.07$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 38c | 158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 69c | 150.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 65c | 149.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 13c | 149.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 139.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 37c | 84.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…5727backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 64c | 77.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 77c | 59.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…2d1fbacked Over | 37c | 42.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 50c | 41.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 67c | 39.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 63c | 36.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 77c | 34.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 75c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…9615backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9eb0backed Under | 64c | 22.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0885backed Under | 72c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 65c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 79c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5this page
- San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-1.5)Andorra won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.