Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2dbf09dddb2c334cf743d113a4f55fa1654870f8b2400a0071d57e4b1e3f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 4,116$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.85 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 45c | 3,758$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 1,484$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.12 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 1,135$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.15 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.93$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 22c | 859.74$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 849.21$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 36c | 757.18$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 650.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 617.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.56 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 438.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 352.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 65c | 327.69$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 288.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 47c | 230.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 54c | 215.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 139.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 120.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 45c | 111.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 50c | 104.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 23c | 100.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…efe0backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 98.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 90.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 64c | 81.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 64c | 77.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 60c | 68.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 62c | 67.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 38c | 65.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 63c | 54.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 63c | 53.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 39c | 51.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 34c | 47.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 57c | 41.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 74c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 65c | 37.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 53c | 36.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 33.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 64c | 32.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 76c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 75c | 28.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Under | 59c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 67c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 77c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 77c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5this page
- San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-1.5)Andorra won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.