Fifa International · resolved market
San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ebb320932c31cef76cc9b7d2e207adcbab111a02b3bd8698486d2e07dc7e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 37c | 867.58$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 62c | 585.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 65c | 491.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 484.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 430.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 36c | 402.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 59c | 399.05$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 368.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 64c | 356.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 65c | 329.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 58c | 305$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 193$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 189.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 42c | 177.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 66c | 109.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 80c | 94.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 74c | 76.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 41c | 44.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Yes | 35c | 42.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 35c | 35.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…fbd0backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Andorra (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-1.5)Andorra won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.